Nature Communications,
Journal Year:
2016,
Volume and Issue:
7(1)
Published: March 24, 2016
Abstract
Foreseeing
population
collapse
is
an
on-going
target
in
ecology,
and
this
has
led
to
the
development
of
early
warning
signals
based
on
expected
changes
leading
indicators
before
a
bifurcation.
Such
have
been
sought
for
abundance
time-series
data
interest,
with
varying
degrees
success.
Here
we
move
beyond
these
established
methods
by
including
parallel
fitness-related
trait
dynamics.
Using
from
microcosm
experiment,
show
that
information
dynamics
phenotypic
traits
such
as
body
size
into
composite
indices
can
produce
more
accurate
inferences
whether
approaching
critical
transition
than
using
alone.
By
alongside
traditional
abundance-based
single
metric
risk,
our
generalizable
approach
provides
powerful
new
way
assess
what
populations
may
be
verge
collapse.
Journal of Experimental Biology,
Journal Year:
2015,
Volume and Issue:
218(12), P. 1856 - 1866
Published: June 1, 2015
ABSTRACT
Because
of
its
profound
effects
on
the
rates
biological
processes
such
as
aerobic
metabolism,
environmental
temperature
plays
an
important
role
in
shaping
distribution
and
abundance
species.
As
increases,
rate
metabolism
increases
then
rapidly
declines
at
higher
temperatures
–
a
response
that
can
be
described
using
thermal
performance
curve
(TPC).
Although
shape
TPC
for
is
often
attributed
to
competing
thermodynamics,
which
Arrhenius
equation,
protein
stability,
this
account
represents
over-simplification
factors
acting
even
level
single
proteins.
In
addition,
it
cannot
adequately
complex
multistep
processes,
rely
mechanisms
across
multiple
levels
organization.
The
purpose
review
explore
our
current
understanding
acute
changes
temperature,
highlight
areas
where
weak
or
insufficient.
Developing
more
strongly
grounded
mechanistic
model
crucial
because
these
TPCs
are
foundation
several
recent
attempts
predict
responses
species
climate
change,
including
metabolic
theory
ecology
hypothesis
oxygen
capacity-limited
tolerance.
Biological reviews/Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society,
Journal Year:
2016,
Volume and Issue:
92(4), P. 1859 - 1876
Published: Nov. 7, 2016
ABSTRACT
Temperature
imposes
significant
constraints
on
ectothermic
animals,
and
these
organisms
have
evolved
numerous
adaptations
to
respond
constraints.
While
the
impacts
of
temperature
physiology
ectotherms
been
extensively
studied,
there
are
currently
no
frameworks
available
that
outline
multiple
often
simultaneous
pathways
by
which
can
affect
behaviour.
Drawing
from
literature
insects,
we
propose
a
unified
framework
should
apply
all
generalizing
temperature's
behavioural
effects
into:
(1)
kinetic
effects,
resulting
bottom‐up
constraining
influence
metabolism
neurophysiology
over
range
timescales
(from
short
long
term),
(2)
integrated
where
top‐down
integration
thermal
information
intentionally
initiates
or
modifies
behaviour
(behavioural
thermoregulation,
orientation,
thermosensory
adjustments).
We
discuss
difficulty
in
distinguishing
adaptive
changes
when
observing
animals'
responses
temperature.
then
two
complementary
approaches
distinguish
constraints,
categorize
behaviours
according
our
framework:
(
i
)
‘kinetic
null
modelling’
behaviour;
ii
ecology
experiments
using
temperature‐insensitive
mutants.
Our
help
guide
future
research
complex
relationship
between
animals.
Ecology Letters,
Journal Year:
2015,
Volume and Issue:
18(7), P. 597 - 611
Published: May 7, 2015
Forecasts
of
ecological
dynamics
in
changing
environments
are
increasingly
important,
and
available
for
a
plethora
variables,
such
as
species
abundance
distribution,
community
structure
ecosystem
processes.
There
is,
however,
general
absence
knowledge
about
how
far
into
the
future,
or
other
dimensions
(space,
temperature,
phylogenetic
distance),
useful
forecasts
can
be
made,
features
systems
relate
to
these
distances.
The
forecast
horizon
is
dimensional
distance
which
made.
Five
case
studies
illustrate
influence
various
sources
uncertainty
(e.g.
parameter
uncertainty,
environmental
variation,
demographic
stochasticity
evolution),
level
organisation
population
community),
organismal
properties
body
size
number
trophic
links)
on
temporal,
spatial
horizons.
Insights
from
demonstrate
that
flexible
powerful
tool
researching
communicating
predictability.
It
also
has
potential
motivating
guiding
agenda
setting
forecasting
research
development.
Journal of Ecology,
Journal Year:
2014,
Volume and Issue:
102(6), P. 1518 - 1527
Published: Sept. 1, 2014
Summary
A
striking
example
of
climate‐mediated
range
shifts
in
marine
systems
is
the
intrusion
tropical
species
into
temperate
areas
world‐wide,
but
we
know
very
little
about
ecological
consequences
these
expansions.
In
Mediterranean
Sea,
expansion
rabbitfishes
that
first
entered
basin
via
Suez
Canal
provides
a
good
how
herbivorous
fish
can
impact
structure
rocky
bottoms
seas.
Two
have
now
become
dominant
component
total
biomass
southernmost
part
eastern
Mediterranean.
Experimental
evidence
shows
profoundly
transform
benthic
communities,
turning
algal
forests
‘barrens’,
specific
mechanisms
facilitate
this
shift
not
been
established.
We
surveyed
˜1000
km
coastline
and
identified
two
clearly
distinct
areas,
warmer
group
regions
with
abundant
rabbitfish
colder
where
consumers
were
absent/
extremely
rare.
rabbitfish,
canopy
algae
65%
less
abundant,
there
was
60%
reduction
overall
(algae
invertebrates)
40%
decrease
richness.
Video‐recorded
feeding
experiments
showed
extensive
barrens
characteristic
due
to
greater
rates
herbivory
by
consumers,
rather
functional
differences
among
herbivores.
Temperate
displayed
greatest
macroalgae
consumption
overall,
they
fed
exclusively
on
established
adult
macroalgae.
contrast,
rabbitfishes,
complementarily
both
epilithic
matrix,
which
typically
contains
macroalgal
recruits.
Synthesis
.
Range‐shifting
severely
reduce
biodiversity
reefs
at
scale
hundreds
kilometres.
from
dominance
mediated
addition
functionally
diverse
herbivores
characterize
reefs.
This
work
highlights
importance
assessing
traits
range‐shifting
determine
potential
communities.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences,
Journal Year:
2016,
Volume and Issue:
371(1694), P. 20150274 - 20150274
Published: April 26, 2016
Most
research
on
the
effects
of
environmental
change
in
freshwaters
has
focused
incremental
changes
average
conditions,
rather
than
fluctuations
or
extreme
events
such
as
heatwaves,
cold
snaps,
droughts,
floods
wildfires,
which
may
have
even
more
profound
consequences.
Such
are
commonly
predicted
to
increase
frequency,
intensity
and
duration
with
global
climate
change,
many
systems
being
exposed
conditions
no
recent
historical
precedent.
We
propose
a
mechanistic
framework
for
predicting
potential
impacts
running-water
ecosystems
by
scaling
up
from
individuals
entire
ecosystems.
This
requires
integration
four
key
components:
environment
individual
metabolism,
metabolic
biomechanical
constraints
fluctuating
species
interactions,
assembly
dynamics
local
food
webs,
mapping
meta-community
onto
ecosystem
function.
illustrate
developing
mathematical
model
dynamically
assembling
webs.
highlight
(currently
limited)
empirical
evidence
emerging
insights
theoretical
predictions.
For
example,
widely
supported
predictions
about
are:
high
vulnerability
per
capita
demands
large-bodied
ones
at
top
webs;
simplification
web
network
structure
impaired
energetic
transfer
efficiency;
reduced
resilience
top-down
relative
bottom-up
regulation
processes.
conclude
identifying
questions
challenges
that
need
be
addressed
develop
accurate
predictive
bio-assessments
fluctuations,
implications
management
practices
an
increasingly
uncertain
world.
Ecology Letters,
Journal Year:
2016,
Volume and Issue:
19(4), P. 361 - 374
Published: Feb. 19, 2016
Abstract
Habitat
fragmentation
changes
thermal
conditions
in
remnant
patches,
and
strongly
influence
organism
morphology,
distribution,
activity
patterns.
However,
few
studies
explore
temperature
as
a
mechanism
driving
ecological
responses
to
fragmentation.
Here
we
offer
conceptual
framework
that
integrates
biology
into
research
better
understand
individual,
species,
community,
ecosystem‐level
Specifically,
the
addresses
how
effects
of
those
spread
through
ecosystem,
from
response
via
sensitivity,
species
distribution
patterns,
shifts
community
structure
following
species'
responses,
ultimately
ecosystem
functions.
We
place
strong
emphasis
on
future
directions
by
outlining
“Critical
gaps”
for
each
step
framework.
Empirical
efforts
apply
test
this
promise
new
understanding
fragmentation's
consequences
strategies
conservation
an
increasingly
fragmented
warmer
world.
Ecology Letters,
Journal Year:
2017,
Volume and Issue:
20(4), P. 513 - 523
Published: March 7, 2017
We
theoretically
explore
consequences
of
warming
for
predator-prey
dynamics,
broadening
previous
approaches
in
three
ways:
we
include
beyond-optimal
temperatures,
predators
may
have
a
type
III
functional
response,
and
prey
carrying
capacity
depends
on
explicitly
modelled
resources.
Several
robust
patterns
arise.
The
relationship
between
temperature
can
range
from
near-independence
to
monotonically
declining/increasing
hump-shaped.
Predators
persist
U-shaped
region
resource
supply
(=enrichment)-temperature
space.
Type
II
responses
yield
stable
persistence
band
inside
this
region,
giving
way
limit
cycles
with
enrichment
at
all
temperatures.
In
contrast,
convey
stability
intermediate
temperatures
confine
low
high
Warming-induced
state
shifts
be
predicted
system
trajectories
crossing
boundaries
enrichment-temperature
Results
earlier
studies
more
restricted
assumptions
map
onto
graph
as
special
cases.
Our
approach
thus
provides
unifying
framework
understanding
effects
trophic
dynamics.
Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
28(7), P. 2259 - 2271
Published: Jan. 21, 2022
According
to
the
temperature-size
rule,
warming
of
aquatic
ecosystems
is
generally
predicted
increase
individual
growth
rates
but
reduce
asymptotic
body
sizes
ectotherms.
However,
we
lack
a
comprehensive
understanding
how
and
key
processes
affecting
it,
such
as
consumption
metabolism,
depend
on
both
temperature
mass
within
species.
This
limits
our
ability
inform
models,
link
experimental
data
observed
patterns,
advance
mechanistic
food
web
models.
To
examine
combined
effects
size
growth,
well
between
maximum
consumption,
conducted
systematic
review
compiled
fishes
from
52
studies
that
treatments.
By
fitting
hierarchical
models
accounting
for
variation
species,
estimated
metabolic
rate
scale
jointly
with
We
found
whole-organism
increases
more
slowly
than
unimodal
over
full
range,
which
leads
prediction
optimum
temperatures
decline
size.
Using
an
independent
dataset,
confirmed
this
negative
relationship
Small
individuals
given
population
may,
therefore,
exhibit
increased
initial
warming,
whereas
larger
conspecifics
could
be
first
experience
impacts
growth.
These
findings
help
dynamics
improve
climate
affects
structure