Antibody escape, the risk of serotype formation, and rapid immune waning: Modeling the implications of SARS-CoV-2 immune evasion DOI Creative Commons
Catherine M. Albright, Debra Van Egeren, Aditya Thakur

et al.

PLoS ONE, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 18(10), P. e0292099 - e0292099

Published: Oct. 18, 2023

As the COVID-19 pandemic progresses, widespread community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 has ushered in a volatile era viral immune evasion rather than much-heralded stability “endemicity” or “herd immunity.” At this point, an array strains rendered essentially all monoclonal antibody therapeutics obsolete and strongly undermined impact vaccinal immunity on transmission. In work, we demonstrate that escape resulting pre-existing is highly evolutionarily favored likely to cause waves short-term long-term, invading induce weak cross-immunity against may co-circulate with those strains. This would result formation serotypes increase disease burden, complicate control, raise potential for increases virulence. Less durable does not drive positive selection as trait, but such transmit at high levels if they establish. Overall, our results draw attention importance inter-strain driver trends early data predict trajectory pandemic.

Language: Английский

Risk of rapid evolutionary escape from biomedical interventions targeting SARS-CoV-2 spike protein DOI Creative Commons
Debra Van Egeren, Alexander Novokhodko, Madison Stoddard

et al.

PLoS ONE, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 16(4), P. e0250780 - e0250780

Published: April 28, 2021

The spike protein receptor-binding domain (RBD) of SARS-CoV-2 is the molecular target for many vaccines and antibody-based prophylactics aimed at bringing COVID-19 under control. Such a narrow focus raises specter viral immune evasion as potential failure mode these biomedical interventions. With emergence new strains with altered transmissibility potential, critical question this: how easily can virus escape neutralizing antibodies (nAbs) targeting RBD? To answer this question, we combined an analysis RBD structure-function evolutionary modeling framework. Our revealed that epitopes RBD-targeting nAbs overlap one another substantially be evaded by mutants ACE2 affinities comparable to wild type, are observed in sequence surveillance data infect cells vitro. This suggests fitness cost nAb-evading mutations low. We then used predict frequency before after widespread presence due vaccines, passive immunization or natural immunity. two mildly deleterious expected exist high numbers neutral genetic variation, consequently resistance other rely on protection develop quickly -and repeatedly- positive selection. Predicted timelines those decay kinetics raised against vaccinal antigens, raising second mechanism loss immunity population. Strategies elimination should therefore diversified across targets therapeutic modalities.

Language: Английский

Citations

86

Public health emergency preparedness for infectious disease emergencies: a scoping review of recent evidence DOI Creative Commons
Jessica M. Lee,

Rachel Jansen,

Kate E Sanderson

et al.

BMC Public Health, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 23(1)

Published: March 2, 2023

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic continues to demonstrate the risks and profound health impacts that result from infectious disease emergencies. Emergency preparedness has been defined as knowledge, capacity organizational systems governments, response recovery organizations, communities individuals develop anticipate, respond to, or recover This scoping review explored recent literature on priority areas indicators for public emergency (PHEP) with a focus Methods Using methodology, comprehensive search was conducted indexed grey records published 2017 2020 onward, respectively. Records were included if they: (a) described PHEP, (b) focused an emergency, (c) in Organization Economic Co-operation Development country. An evidence-based all-hazards Resilience Framework PHEP consisting of 11 elements used reference point identify additional have emerged publications. findings analyzed deductively summarized thematically. Results publications largely aligned PHEP. In particular, related collaborative networks, community engagement, risk analysis communication frequently observed across this review. Ten emergent themes identified expand specific diseases. Planning mitigate inequities key finding review, it most theme. Additional were: research evidence-informed decision making, building vaccination capacity, laboratory diagnostic system infection prevention control financial investment infrastructure, climate environmental health, legislation phases preparedness. Conclusion contribute evolving understanding critical actions. outlined specifically relevant pandemics Further will be important validate these findings, how refinements frameworks can support practice.

Language: Английский

Citations

33

Anti-COVID Vaccination for Adolescents: A Survey on Determinants of Vaccine Parental Hesitancy DOI Creative Commons
Stefano Zona,

S Partesotti,

Andrea Bergomi

et al.

Vaccines, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 9(11), P. 1309 - 1309

Published: Nov. 10, 2021

Vaccine hesitancy has been considered one of the most severe threats to global health, as it represents an obstacle achieving adequate vaccination coverage. Recent research studies aimed at investigating propensity for anti-COVID among adults have found a high prevalence vaccine hesitancy, but few data are available on parental hesitancy. We therefore built anonymous online survey investigate factors related parents adolescents between 12 and 17 years age, with special focus demographic domains confidence complacency. The was conducted by using Crowd Signal platform from 15 July 16 August 2021, in Italy. A total 1799 analyzable questionnaires were analyzed. Overall, Favorable Doubtful declared higher level safety efficacy pediatric vaccines health institutions than Hesitant/Reluctant ones (p-values < 0.001). univariate multinomial logistic regression analysis multivariate showed that younger 40 secondary-school or three-year degree, free-lance, family income below €28,000, erroneous perception risk COVID-19 disease fear vaccination. These results, which should be confirmed larger population different geographical areas, lead Institutions stakeholders identify targeted communication tools improve trust institutions, especially parents.

Language: Английский

Citations

27

Prevalence, predictors and reasons for COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy: Results of a global online survey DOI Creative Commons
Paolo Candio, Mara Violato, Philip Clarke

et al.

Health Policy, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 137, P. 104895 - 104895

Published: Aug. 19, 2023

Vaccine hesitancy has the potential to cripple efforts end COVID-19 pandemic. Policy makers need be informed about scale, nature and drivers of this problem, both domestically globally, so that effective interventions can designed. To end, we conducted a statistical analysis data from CANDOUR survey (n = 15,536), which was carried out in 13 countries representing approximately half global population. Both pooled country-level ordered regression models were estimated identify predictors vaccine reasons for not getting vaccinated. We found high levels hesitancy, particularly high-income countries. Factors driving moderate differed those extreme hesitancy. A lack trust health care providers consistently underlying driver more Predictors varied across countries, though being younger female typically associated with greater While political ideology played role some effect often moderated by income level, US. Overall, results suggest different such as mass-media campaigns monetary incentives may needed target moderately versus extremely hesitant. The professionals drives reflect deep societal mistrust science institutions challenging overcome.

Language: Английский

Citations

9

Constructing an emergency preparedness evaluation index system for public use during major emerging infectious disease outbreaks: a Delphi study DOI Creative Commons
Wei Wei,

Yubei Liu,

Zhou Na

et al.

BMC Public Health, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 23(1)

Published: June 8, 2023

Abstract Background The major emerging infectious diseases (MEIDs) have occurred frequently and become increasingly serious in the world. Sufficient personal emergency preparedness is critical for general people efficiently responding to recovering from MEIDs. Nevertheless, few specific indicators are available assessing individual of public during these periods. Therefore, aim this study was construct an index system comprehensively evaluating regarding Methods Based on global national-level framework a literature review, preliminary constructed. From June 2022 September 2022, panel 20 experts nine provinces municipalities across multiple research areas participated Delphi study. They rated importance pre-defined using five-point Likert scale provided their qualitative comments. According feedback each round experts, evaluation were revised. Results After two rounds expert consultation reached consensus, containing five first-level indicators, cooperating with prevention control work, improving response capacity, securing supplies equipment, preparing economic resources, maintaining physical mental health affiliated s-level 53 third-level indicators. authority coefficient 0.88 0.90. Kendall’s concordance consultations 0.294 0.322, respectively. differences statistically significant ( P < 0.05). Conclusion A valid, reliable scientific established. This system, as precursor form, will further lay foundation formation assessment instrument. At same time, it could provide reference future education training public.

Language: Английский

Citations

5

The impact of vaccination frequency on COVID-19 public health outcomes: A model-based analysis DOI Creative Commons
Madison Stoddard, Yuan Lin, Sharanya Sarkar

et al.

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 29, 2023

Abstract While the rapid deployment of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines had a significant impact on ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, viral immune evasion and waning neutralizing antibody titers have degraded vaccine efficacy. Nevertheless, manufacturers public health authorities number levers at their disposal to maximize benefits vaccination. Here, we use an agent-based modeling framework coupled with outputs population pharmacokinetic model examine boosting frequency durability vaccinal response Our work suggests that repeated dosing frequent intervals (multiple times year) may offset degradation efficacy, preserving utility in managing pandemic. relies assumptions about accumulation tolerability doses. Given practical significance potential improvements utility, clinical research better understand effects vaccination would be highly impactful. These findings are particularly relevant as worldwide seek reduce boosters once year or less. recommendations for draws attention possibility outcomes remain within reach.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Heterogeneity in Vaccinal Immunity to SARS-CoV-2 Can Be Addressed by a Personalized Booster Strategy DOI Creative Commons
Madison Stoddard, Lin Yuan, Sharanya Sarkar

et al.

Vaccines, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 11(4), P. 806 - 806

Published: April 6, 2023

SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations were initially shown to substantially reduce risk of severe disease and death. However, pharmacokinetic (PK) waning rapid viral evolution degrade neutralizing antibody (nAb) binding titers, causing loss vaccinal protection. Additionally, there is inter-individual heterogeneity in the strength durability nAb response. Here, we propose a personalized booster strategy as potential solution this problem. Our model-based approach incorporates response primary vaccination into pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model project population-level We further examine impact evolutionary immune evasion on protection over time based variant fold reduction potency. findings suggest will decrease effectiveness against disease, especially for individuals with less durable More frequent boosting may restore weaker analysis shows that ECLIA RBD assay strongly predicts neutralization sequence-matched pseudoviruses. This be useful tool rapidly assessing individual work suggests not assured identifies path forward reducing immunologically vulnerable individuals.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Heterogeneity in vaccinal immunity to SARS-CoV-2 can be addressed by a personalized booster strategy DOI Creative Commons
Madison Stoddard, Lin Yuan, Sharanya Sarkar

et al.

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Sept. 1, 2022

Abstract The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has placed an unprecedented burden on global health. Crucial for managing this burden, the existing SARS-CoV-2 vaccines have substantially reduced risk of severe disease and death up to point. induction neutralizing antibodies (nAbs) by these leads protection against both infection disease. However, pharmacokinetic (PK) waning rapid viral evolution degrade antibody binding titers, leading a loss vaccinal occurring order months after vaccination. Additionally, inter-individual heterogeneity in strength durability vaccine-induced response can create further public-health placing subset population at risk. Here we incorporate into pharmacokinetic/ pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model project degree immune protection. We extend our model-based approach examine impact evolutionary evasion Our findings suggest that be expected effectiveness disease, particularly individuals with shorter duration response. One possible solution may more frequent boosting weaker demonstrate targeted involves use ECLIA RBD assay identify whose is insufficient work suggests not assured provides path forward reducing immunologically vulnerable individuals.

Language: Английский

Citations

6

Antibody escape, the risk of serotype formation, and rapid immune waning: modeling the implications of SARS-CoV-2 immune evasion DOI Creative Commons
Catherine M. Albright, Debra Van Egeren, Aditya Thakur

et al.

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 26, 2023

Abstract As the COVID-19 pandemic progresses, widespread community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 has ushered in a volatile era viral immune evasion rather than much-heralded stability “endemicity” or “herd immunity.” At this point, an array variants rendered essentially all monoclonal antibody therapeutics obsolete and strongly undermined impact vaccinal immunity on transmission. In work, we demonstrate that antigenic drift resulting pre-existing is highly evolutionarily favored likely to cause waves short-term long-term, invading induce weak cross-immunity against strains may co-circulate with those strains. This would result formation serotypes increase disease burden, complicate control raise potential for increases virulence. Less durable does not drive positive selection as trait, but such transmit at high levels if they establish. Overall, our results draw attention importance inter-strain driver trends early data predict trajectory pandemic.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Pathways to altered virulence of SARS-CoV-2 DOI Open Access
Laura F. White, Debra Van Egeren, Madison Stoddard

et al.

Published: Feb. 24, 2023

The recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 virus has led to a prolonged pandemic characterized by ongoing viral evolution. Vaccines have been an important piece in the strategy combat but insufficient contain it as continues evolve evade immunity developed vaccination and infection. A consistent argument is that or prior will lead less severe infections. In this review, we address question of whether can become more virulent, despite We describe intrinsic characteristics their relationship altered virulence. show likely evolution subject evolutionary drift, cannot be assumed necessarily offer durable protection against disease. This strong implications for public health strategies confront challenges presented implies there are significant risks based on assumption waning

Language: Английский

Citations

1