Ecology and Evolution,
Journal Year:
2013,
Volume and Issue:
3(15), P. 4896 - 4909
Published: Nov. 7, 2013
Large-scale
biodiversity
data
are
needed
to
predict
species'
responses
global
change
and
address
basic
questions
in
macroecology.
While
such
increasingly
becoming
available,
their
analysis
is
challenging
because
of
the
typically
large
heterogeneity
spatial
sampling
intensity
need
account
for
observation
processes.
Two
further
challenges
accounting
effects
that
not
explained
by
covariates,
drawing
inference
on
dynamics
at
these
scales.
We
developed
dynamic
occupancy
models
analyze
large-scale
atlas
data.
In
addition
occupancy,
estimate
local
colonization
persistence
probabilities.
accounted
autocorrelation
using
conditional
autoregressive
autologistic
models.
fitted
detection/nondetection
collected
a
quarter-degree
grid
across
southern
Africa
during
two
projects,
hadeda
ibis
(Bostrychia
hagedash)
as
an
example.
The
model
accurately
reproduced
range
expansion
between
first
(SABAP1:
1987-1992)
second
(SABAP2:
2007-2012)
Southern
African
Bird
Atlas
Project
into
drier
parts
interior
South
Africa.
Grid
cells
occupied
SABAP1
generally
remained
occupied,
but
unoccupied
was
strongly
dependent
number
neighborhood.
detection
probability
varied
space
due
variation
effort,
observer
identity,
seasonality,
unexplained
effects.
present
flexible
hierarchical
approach
analyzing
grid-based
dynamical
Our
similar
distribution
obtained
generalized
additive
has
advantages.
accounts
heterogeneous
process,
correlation,
perhaps
most
importantly,
allows
us
examine
aspects
species
ranges.
Journal of Applied Ecology,
Journal Year:
2017,
Volume and Issue:
54(6), P. 2043 - 2052
Published: Feb. 8, 2017
Summary
The
challenges
associated
with
monitoring
low‐density
carnivores
across
large
landscapes
have
limited
the
ability
to
implement
and
evaluate
conservation
management
strategies
for
such
species.
Non‐invasive
sampling
techniques
advanced
statistical
approaches
alleviated
some
of
these
can
even
allow
spatially
explicit
estimates
density,
one
most
valuable
wildlife
tools.
For
species,
individual
identification
comes
at
no
cost
when
unique
attributes
(e.g.
pelage
patterns)
be
discerned
remote
cameras,
while
other
species
require
viable
genetic
material
expensive
laboratory
processing
assignment.
Prohibitive
costs
may
still
force
efforts
use
distribution
or
occupancy
as
a
surrogate
which
not
appropriate
under
many
conditions.
Here,
we
used
large‐scale
study
fisher
Pekania
pennanti
effectiveness
an
approximation
particularly
informing
harvest
decisions.
We
combined
cameras
baited
hair
snares
during
2013–2015
sample
70
096‐km
2
region
western
New
York,
USA
.
fit
Royle–Nichols
models
detection–non‐detection
data
collected
by
spatial
capture–recapture
(SCR)
encounter
obtained
genotyped
samples.
Variation
in
state
variables
within
15‐km
grid
cells
was
modelled
function
landscape
known
influence
distribution.
found
close
relationship
between
cell
from
using
those
SCR
model,
likely
due
informative
covariates
extent
resolution
that
worked
well
movement
ecology
Fisher
density
were
both
positively
proportion
coniferous‐mixed
forest
negatively
road
density.
As
result,
recommendations
similar
models,
though
relative
variation
dampened
data.
Synthesis
applications
Our
work
provides
empirical
evidence
make
inferences
regarding
focal
population
more
encounters
selected
grain
approximates
is
marginally
smaller
than
home
range
size.
When
alone
chosen
cost‐effective
variable
monitoring,
simulation
sensitivity
analyses
should
understand
how
will
affected
aspects
design
ecology.
Methods in Ecology and Evolution,
Journal Year:
2018,
Volume and Issue:
9(6), P. 1614 - 1625
Published: Feb. 9, 2018
Abstract
Species
distribution
models
(
SDM
s)
are
widely
used
in
ecology
and
related
fields.
They
frequently
adopted
to
predict
the
expected
occurrence
(presence/absence)
or
abundance
over
large
spatial
scales,
that
is,
produce
a
species
map.
Two
issues
almost
universally
affect
these
measurement
errors
(especially
imperfect
detection)
residual
autocorrelation.
We
explored
effects
of
detection
autocorrelation
by
simulating
datasets
which
did
not
contain
two
analysing
them
with
four
different
accommodate
them.
Specifically,
we
Poisson
GLM
as
baseline,
an
N‐mixture
model
accounting
only
for
accounted
detection,
but
differed
their
specification
CAR
random
vs.
two‐dimensional
splines).
In
case
study,
then
applied
Common
Redstart
Phoenicurus
phoenicurus
data
from
second
Swiss
Breeding
Bird
Atlas
(1993–1996)
validated
using
independent
monitoring
dataset.
found
both
strongly
affected
quality
uncertainty
maps,
especially
when
they
occurred
together.
Spatial
were
well
able
estimate
true
maps.
Explicit
modelling
error
can
thus
greatly
improve
s
should
be
ignored
producing
large‐scale
Global Ecology and Conservation,
Journal Year:
2014,
Volume and Issue:
3, P. 149 - 162
Published: Nov. 26, 2014
Leopard
population
declines
largely
occur
in
areas
where
leopards
and
people
frequently
interact.
Research
on
how
respond
to
human
presence
competitors,
like
other
predators,
can
provide
important
insights
leopard
ecology
conservation
human-dominated
regions;
however,
such
research
is
lacking.
Here
we
used
data
from
field
cameras
2010
2011
examine
presence,
prey,
tigers
influence
spatiotemporal
activity
patterns
around
Nepal's
Chitwan
National
Park,
part
of
a
global
biodiversity
hotspot.
We
found
that
were
adjusting
their
both
people,
but
by
different
mechanisms.
Leopards
spatially
avoided
2010,
generally
active
at
the
same
times
day
were.
Despite
pervasive
foot
vehicles
had
no
significant
effect
detection
space
use,
temporal
was
displaced
those
periods
time
with
highest
activity.
Temporal
displacement
humans
especially
pronounced
outside
park,
there
much
greater
prevalence
natural
resource
collection
local
people.
Continuing
evaluate
interconnections
among
leopards,
tigers,
across
land
management
regimes
needed
develop
robust
landscape-scale
strategies.
Methods in Ecology and Evolution,
Journal Year:
2021,
Volume and Issue:
13(3), P. 577 - 584
Published: Dec. 2, 2021
Abstract
Obtaining
unbiased
estimates
of
wildlife
distribution
and
abundance
is
an
important
objective
in
research
management.
Occupancy
N‐mixture
models,
which
correct
for
imperfect
detection,
are
commonly
used
this
purpose.
Fitting
these
models
a
Bayesian
framework
has
advantages
but
doing
so
can
be
challenging
time‐consuming
many
researchers.
We
developed
R
package,
ubms
,
provides
easy‐to‐use,
formula‐based
interface
fitting
occupancy,
other
using
Stan.
The
package
also
tools
visualizing
parameter
effects,
calculating
residuals,
assessing
goodness‐of‐fit
comparing
models.
demonstrate
the
use
by
model
to
ruffed
grouse
Bonasa
umbellus
count
data
from
drumming
surveys
conducted
at
roadside
points
sampled
on
five
occasions
annually
during
2013–2015.
To
functionality
we
survey
site
as
random
effect,
occasion
date
per
cent
aspen
cover
each
covariates
detection
respectively.
top‐ranked
included
positive
effect
abundance.
potential
greatly
increase
range
users
who
will
able
rigorously
assess
species
while
correcting
framework.
Population Ecology,
Journal Year:
2015,
Volume and Issue:
58(1), P. 31 - 44
Published: Sept. 7, 2015
Abstract
During
the
20th
century
ecologists
largely
relied
on
frequentist
system
of
inference
for
analysis
their
data.
However,
in
past
few
decades
have
become
increasingly
interested
use
Bayesian
methods
data
analysis.
In
this
article
I
provide
guidance
to
who
would
like
decide
whether
can
be
used
improve
conclusions
and
predictions.
begin
by
providing
a
concise
summary
analysis,
including
comparison
differences
between
approaches
when
using
hierarchical
models.
Next
list
problems
where
may
arguably
preferred
over
methods.
These
are
usually
encountered
analyses
based
models
describe
essentials
required
applying
modern
computation,
real‐world
examples
illustrate
these
conclude
summarizing
what
perceive
main
strengths
weaknesses
solve
ecological
problems.
Ecology,
Journal Year:
2015,
Volume and Issue:
97(1), P. 194 - 204
Published: July 16, 2015
The
dynamic,
multi-season
occupancy
model
framework
has
become
a
popular
tool
for
modeling
open
populations
with
occupancies
that
change
over
time
through
local
colonizations
and
extinctions.
However,
few
versions
of
the
relate
these
probabilities
to
neighboring
sites
or
patches.
We
present
incorporates
this
information
is
capable
describing
wide
variety
spatiotemporal
colonization
extinction
processes.
A
key
feature
it
based
on
simple
set
small-scale
rules
how
process
evolves.
result
dynamic
can
account
complicated
large-scale
features.
In
our
model,
site
more
likely
be
colonized
if
its
neighbors
were
previously
occupied
provides
appealing
environmental
characteristics
than
sites.
Additionally,
without
may
also
inclusion
long-distance
dispersal
process.
Although
similar
specifications
have
been
developed
epidemiological
applications,
ours
formally
accounts
detectability
using
well-known
framework.
After
demonstrating
viability
potential
new
form
in
simulation
study,
we
use
obtain
inference
ongoing
Common
Myna
(Acridotheres
tristis)
invasion
South
Africa.
Our
results
suggest
continues
enlarge
distribution
spread
via
short
distance
movement,
rather
dispersal.
Overall,
powerful
managers
examining
drivers
including
short-
vs.
dispersal,
habitat
quality,
from
source
populations.