Forecasting Carbon Emissions from Planting Industry in China Based on BO-LightGBM and SHAP DOI Creative Commons
Zhan Wu, Chunxiao Wang,

Sina Cha

et al.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Aug. 8, 2024

Abstract In order to address the carbon emissions generated by plantation industry in China, this study used panel data from 30 provinces between 2012 and 2022 predict analyse through LightGBM algorithm SHAP. addition, hyper-parameters of regression model were optimised a Bayesian optimisation five-fold cross-validation was applied check robustness machine learning results. Finally, SHAP depth key factors affecting explore ways promote emission reduction China's industry. The results show that agriculture-related financial expenditure, number agricultural high-tech enterprises rural professional cooperatives have negative effects non-linear characteristics on prediction outperforms benchmark algorithm, R2 mean value is 0.982. can provide scientific basis technical support for promoting sustainable development Chinese agriculture.

Language: Английский

Efficiency and Driving Factors of Agricultural Carbon Emissions: A Study in Chinese State Farms DOI Creative Commons
Guanghe Han, Jiahui Xu, Xin Zhang

et al.

Agriculture, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(9), P. 1454 - 1454

Published: Aug. 26, 2024

Promoting low-carbon agriculture is vital for climate action and food security. State farms serve as crucial agricultural production bases in China are essential reducing China’s carbon emissions boosting emission efficiency. This study calculates the of state across 29 Chinese provinces using IPCC method from 2010 to 2022. It also evaluates efficiency with Super-Slack-Based Measure (Super-SBM model) analyzes influencing factors Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method. The findings suggest that three largest sources rice planting, chemical fertilizers, land tillage. Secondly, initially surge, stabilize fluctuations, ultimately decline, higher observed northern eastern China. Thirdly, rise driven primarily by technological progress. Lastly, economic development industry structure promote emissions, while labor scale reduce them. To improve efficiency, following measures can be taken: (1) Improve all links; (2) Optimize industrial coordinated agriculture; (3) Reduce specialization, professionalization, high-quality labor; (4) Accelerate green technology innovation guide transformation farms. enriches theoretical foundation develops a framework assessing farms, offering guidance future research policy sustainable agriculture.

Language: Английский

Citations

44

Impact on green finance and environmental regulation on carbon emissions: evidence from China DOI Creative Commons
Xiaoyang Guo,

Jingyi Yang,

Yang Shen

et al.

Frontiers in Environmental Science, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: Feb. 7, 2024

Introduction: Achieving peak carbon dioxide emissions and neutrality is an extensive profound systematic economic social change. Through market-oriented financial means, green finance has moved forward the effective governance port, curbed polluting investment promoted technological progress such as low-carbon, energy conservation environmental protection, which become a powerful starting point to support practice of low-carbon development. Methods: Based on panel data 30 provinces in China (except Tibet, Hongkong, Macau Taiwan Province) from 2004 2021, this paper calculates development level by using entropy weight method, basis, uses mathematical statistical model verify impact its sub-dimensions regulatory effect heterogeneous regulation tools. Results: The results show that significant inhibitory during investigation period, there time lag effect. After series robustness tests considering endogenous problems, conclusion still holds. From heterogeneity analysis, emission reduction credit most obvious, slightly different regions. Besides, Command-controlled tools public participation play positive role transmission path finance’s emissions, but market-driven cannot effectively enhance Discussion: research provide basis for government formulate flexible, accurate, reasonable appropriate policies, help strengthen exchange cooperation between regions reducing fixing carbon, actively steadily promote China’s goal “peak neutrality”.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Achieving Sustainability and Carbon Emission Reduction Through Agricultural Socialized Services: Mechanism Testing and Spatial Analysis DOI Creative Commons

Changyi Jiang,

Hao Wang,

Jiliang Ma

et al.

Agriculture, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(4), P. 373 - 373

Published: Feb. 11, 2025

Reducing carbon emissions in crop production not only aligns with the goal of high-quality agricultural development but also contributes to achieving “dual goals”. Based on panel data from 31 provinces China between 2010 and 2019, this paper explores impact Agricultural Socialized Services China’s production. Utilizing classical IPCC emission calculation model spatial econometrics models, study analyzes temporal distribution characteristics their driving factors, a particular focus evaluating role reducing The empirical results reveal “reverse U-shaped” curve for peak 2015. significantly reduced production, especially terms reductions fertilizer pesticide use, although other sources such as plastic mulch, diesel, tillage was relatively limited. Furthermore, exhibited significant spillover effects, effectively local generating positive reduction effects neighboring regions through cross-regional services. these findings, suggests improving system according regional conditions fully leverage its It advocates accelerating innovation low-carbon technologies, encouraging farmers’ participation, utilizing organizational advantages village collectives jointly promote achieve goals.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Application of extreme learning machine (ELM) forecasting model on CO2 emission dataset of a natural gas-fired power plant in Dhaka, Bangladesh DOI Creative Commons
Mustafizur Rahman, Faijunnesa Rashid, Sujit Kumar Roy

et al.

Data in Brief, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 54, P. 110491 - 110491

Published: May 3, 2024

Understanding and predicting CO2 emissions from individual power plants is crucial for developing effective mitigation strategies. This study analyzes forecasts an engine-based natural gas-fired plant in Dhaka Export Processing Zone (DEPZ), Bangladesh. also presents a rich dataset ELM-based prediction model Utilizing of Electricity generation Gas Consumption, tons are estimated based on the measured energy use, ELM models were trained data January 2015 to December 2022 used forecast until 2026. aims improve understanding plants. While specific operational strategy studied not available, provided can serve as valuable baseline or benchmark comparison with similar facilities development future research optimizing operations The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) modeling method was employed due its efficiency accuracy prediction. achieved performance metrics Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Absolute (MAE), Scaled (MASE), values respectively 3494.46 (<5000), 2013.42 (<2500), 0.93 close 1, which falls within acceptable range. Although gas cleaner alternative, emission reduction remains essential. data-driven approach using Bangladeshi case provides replicable framework measuring forecasting facilities, contributing global climate change.

Language: Английский

Citations

6

Impact of agricultural digitalization on carbon emission intensity of planting industry: Evidence from China DOI Creative Commons
Dan Wang, Chongcheng Chen,

Ningteng Zhu

et al.

Heliyon, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 10(10), P. e31215 - e31215

Published: May 1, 2024

Studying the impact of agricultural digitalization (ADT) on carbon emission intensity planting industry (PCI) can help promote sustainable development and realize "dual carbon" goal. Based panel data 31 provinces in China from 2010 to 2020, this study uses entropy weight method coefficient measure level ADT PCI, respectively. By using regression analysis method, as well robustness test, heterogeneity spatial spillover effect threshold tests, PCI was examined. The results are follow: (1) is high north low south, north-south divide becoming prominent. (2) significantly reduce verified through test. (3) Regional differences exist with most significant observed northeast region, followed by western central regions. (4) exerts a an inhibitory adjacent provinces. (5) proportion urban population PCI. When ratio crosses 69 %, emissions decreases marginally. Therefore, promoting green low-carbon highly recommended.

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Digital Financial Inclusion, Land Circulation and High-Quality Development of Agriculture DOI Open Access

Xiong Qi,

Xiaoyang Guo, Jingyi Yang

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(11), P. 4775 - 4775

Published: June 4, 2024

With the deep integration of digital technology and inclusive finance, finance has provided a new opportunity for agricultural high-quality development through “overtaking on curves”. This article empirically examines impact dynamic mechanism land circulation in its transmission process, utilizing panel data from various provinces China 2011 to 2021. The research indicates that significant improvement effect development, this conclusion remains valid after series endogenous treatments robustness tests. Meanwhile, intelligent manufacturing more pronounced role promoting China’s eastern regions, regions with sound infrastructure, high environmental regulation intensity. Further reveals can promote circulation. conclusions provide important empirical evidence policy implications achieving coordinated economic growth protection, thereby realizing beautiful vision comprehensive rural revitalization.

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Regional disparities, dynamic evolution, and spatial spillover effects of urban-rural carbon emission inequality in China DOI Creative Commons

Jiangying Wei,

Ridong Hu, Yanhua Li

et al.

Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: March 1, 2024

Objective This study recalculates the carbon emissions of urban and rural residents in China, analyzing dynamic evolution trends emissions. It explores spatial spillover effects centered around inequality between areas. Methods The calculates each province based on IPCC method. Non-parametric kernel density estimation is employed to depict characteristics national, urban, Theil Index used measure disparities major strategic regions, further applying evaluate across provinces. helps identify driving factors affecting their spatio-temporal effects. Finding Carbon from China present a divergent development pattern. Urban have increased, with inter-provincial widening; tend stabilize, slight growth gaps. overall various regions experiences three-phase journey rise, decline, stabilization. first increases then decreases, while gradually lessens, showing clear regional urban-rural differences. Market government significantly impact digital economy aids reducing generates significant relationship economic level emission U-shaped. Industrial structure optimization can reduce inequality, but its effect not significant. Government intervention has limited effects, environmental regulations may increase inequality. Opening up outside world population complex.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Big data development and agricultural carbon emissions: Exacerbation or suppression? A quasi-natural experiment based on the establishment of the National Big Data Comprehensive Pilot Zone DOI
Yongchao Wu, Haifeng Du, Xinyuan Wei

et al.

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 368, P. 122178 - 122178

Published: Aug. 11, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Toward low-carbon agriculture: measurement and driver analysis of agricultural carbon emissions in Sichuan province, China DOI Creative Commons
Wenxiu Zhang, Yang Shen

Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 9

Published: April 14, 2025

Introduction Agricultural carbon emission reduction is the meaning of realizing goal double carbon, and Sichuan province, as one main grain producing areas in China, it urgent to realize agricultural reduction. Methods Based on data 18 cities province from 2000 2022, this paper calculates total intensity by using IPCC guidelines, measures its temporal, spatial evolution trend regional differences, further evaluates driving factors fixed effect model. Results The results show that: (1) quantity emissions has increased, but decreased, among which caused land planting residents’ life are sources; (2) differences narrowing, gap between groups root emissions, shows that eastern western Sichuan, southern quite different; (3) characterized agglomeration spillover, mainly showing a High-High mode, few have changed their modes; (4) influenced multiple factors. Population density, industrial structure, social wealth, mechanization technological progress negative effects intensity, while macro-control increased intensity. Discussion In study, complete accounting system for was established, series statistical methods were used analyze obtain insightful results. It useful exploration low-carbon models context climate change. important implications green development agriculture province.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

The effect of artificial intelligence on energy transition: Evidence from China DOI
Xiangming Gao,

Xinliang Ji,

Rong Wang

et al.

Energy Economics, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 108568 - 108568

Published: May 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0