bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: March 18, 2024
Abstract
Successively
emerging
SARS-CoV-2
variants
lead
to
repeated
epidemic
surges
through
escalated
spreading
potential
(i.e.,
fitness).
Modeling
genotype–fitness
relationship
enables
us
pinpoint
the
mutations
boosting
viral
fitness
and
flag
high-risk
immediately
after
their
detection.
Here,
we
introduce
CoVFit,
a
protein
language
model
able
predict
of
based
solely
on
spike
sequences.
CoVFit
was
trained
with
data
derived
from
genome
surveillance
functional
mutation
related
immune
evasion.
When
limited
only
available
before
emergence
XBB,
successfully
predicted
higher
XBB
lineage.
Fully-trained
identified
549
elevation
events
throughout
evolution
until
late
2023.
Furthermore,
CoVFit-based
simulation
JN.1
subvariants
Our
study
provides
both
insight
into
landscape
novel
tool
potentially
transforming
surveillance.
Viruses,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
16(1), P. 3 - 3
Published: Dec. 19, 2023
Convergent
evolution
of
the
SARS-CoV-2
Spike
protein
has
been
mostly
driven
by
immune
escape,
in
particular
escape
to
viral
infection-neutralizing
antibodies
(nAbs)
elicited
previous
infections
and/or
vaccinations
[...]
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: July 17, 2023
Abstract
The
evolution
of
SARS-Coronavirus-2
(SARS-CoV-2)
has
been
characterized
by
the
periodic
emergence
highly
divergent
variants,
many
which
may
have
arisen
during
chronic
infections
immunocompromised
individuals.
Here,
we
harness
a
global
phylogeny
∼11.7
million
SARS-CoV-2
genomes
and
search
for
clades
composed
sequences
with
identical
metadata
(location,
age,
sex)
spanning
more
than
21
days.
We
postulate
that
such
represent
repeated
sampling
from
same
chronically
infected
individual.
A
set
271
chronic-like
was
inferred,
displayed
signatures
an
elevated
rate
adaptive
evolution,
in
line
validated
infections.
More
70%
mutations
present
currently
circulating
variants
are
found
BA.1
predate
months,
demonstrating
predictive
nature
clades.
find
probability
observing
is
approximately
10-20
higher
transmission
chains.
next
employ
language
models
to
most
use
them
infer
hundreds
additional
absence
phylogenetic
information.
Our
proposed
approach
presents
innovative
method
mining
extensive
sequencing
data
providing
valuable
insights
into
future
evolutionary
patterns.
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: April 3, 2024
Abstract
In
this
study,
we
combined
AlphaFold-based
approaches
for
atomistic
modeling
of
multiple
protein
states
and
microsecond
molecular
simulations
to
accurately
characterize
conformational
ensembles
binding
mechanisms
convergent
evolution
the
SARS-CoV-2
Spike
Omicron
variants
BA.1,
BA.2,
BA.2.75,
BA.3,
BA.4/BA.5
BQ.1.1.
We
employed
validated
several
different
adaptations
AlphaFold
methodology
including
introduced
randomized
full
sequence
scanning
manipulation
variations
systematically
explore
dynamics
complexes
with
ACE2
receptor.
Microsecond
dynamic
provide
a
detailed
characterization
landscapes
thermodynamic
stability
variant
complexes.
By
integrating
predictions
from
applying
statistical
confidence
metrics
can
expand
identify
functional
conformations
that
determine
equilibrium
ACE2.
Conformational
RBD-ACE2
obtained
using
are
accurate
comparative
prediction
energetics
revealing
an
excellent
agreement
experimental
data.
particular,
results
demonstrated
AlphaFold-generated
extended
produce
energies
The
study
suggested
complementarities
potential
synergies
between
showing
information
both
methods
potentially
yield
more
adequate
This
provides
insights
in
interplay
binding,
through
acquisition
mutational
sites
may
leverage
adaptability
couplings
key
energy
hotspots
optimize
affinity
enable
immune
evasion.
Microbiology Spectrum,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
12(3)
Published: Feb. 5, 2024
ABSTRACT
The
SARS-CoV-2
XBB
is
a
group
of
highly
immune-evasive
lineages
the
Omicron
variant
concern
that
emerged
by
recombining
BA.2-descendent
and
spread
worldwide
during
2023.
In
this
study,
we
combine
genomic
data
(
n
=
11,065
sequences)
with
epidemiological
severe
acute
respiratory
infection
(SARI)
cases
collected
in
Brazil
between
October
2022
July
2023
to
reconstruct
space-time
dynamics
epidemiologic
impact
dissemination
country.
Our
analyses
revealed
introduction
local
emergence
carrying
convergent
mutations
within
Spike
protein,
especially
F486P,
F456L,
L455F,
propelled
XBB*
Brazil.
average
relative
instantaneous
reproduction
numbers
+
F486P
F456L
L455F
were
estimated
be
1.24,
1.33,
1.48
higher
than
other
co-circulating
(mainly
BQ.1*/BE*),
respectively.
Despite
such
growth
advantage,
these
had
reduced
on
Brazil’s
scenario
concerning
previous
subvariants.
peak
number
SARI
from
wave
was
approximately
90%,
80%,
70%
lower
observed
BA.1*,
BA.5*,
BQ.1*
waves,
These
findings
multiple
progressively
increasing
yet
relatively
limited
throughout
stand
out
for
their
heightened
transmissibility,
warranting
close
monitoring
months
ahead.
IMPORTANCE
one
most
affected
countries
pandemic,
more
700,000
deaths
mid-2023.
This
study
reconstructs
virus
country
first
half
2023,
period
characterized
descendants
XBB.1,
recombinant
BA.2
evolved
late
2022.
analysis
supports
marked
continuous
indigenous
bearing
similar
key
sites
process
followed
increments
without
repercussions
incidence
cases.
Thus,
results
suggest
influenced
an
intricate
interplay
factors
extend
beyond
virus's
transmissibility
alone.
also
underlines
need
surveillance
allows
its
ever-shifting
composition.
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: March 18, 2024
Abstract
Successively
emerging
SARS-CoV-2
variants
lead
to
repeated
epidemic
surges
through
escalated
spreading
potential
(i.e.,
fitness).
Modeling
genotype–fitness
relationship
enables
us
pinpoint
the
mutations
boosting
viral
fitness
and
flag
high-risk
immediately
after
their
detection.
Here,
we
introduce
CoVFit,
a
protein
language
model
able
predict
of
based
solely
on
spike
sequences.
CoVFit
was
trained
with
data
derived
from
genome
surveillance
functional
mutation
related
immune
evasion.
When
limited
only
available
before
emergence
XBB,
successfully
predicted
higher
XBB
lineage.
Fully-trained
identified
549
elevation
events
throughout
evolution
until
late
2023.
Furthermore,
CoVFit-based
simulation
JN.1
subvariants
Our
study
provides
both
insight
into
landscape
novel
tool
potentially
transforming
surveillance.