International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 105391 - 105391
Опубликована: Март 1, 2025
Язык: Английский
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 105391 - 105391
Опубликована: Март 1, 2025
Язык: Английский
Remote Sensing of Environment, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 300, С. 113918 - 113918
Опубликована: Ноя. 27, 2023
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
50Science, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 382(6671), С. 702 - 707
Опубликована: Ноя. 9, 2023
Wildfire risks to homes are increasing, especially in the wildland-urban interface (WUI), where wildland vegetation and houses close proximity. Notably, we found that more exposed destroyed by grassland shrubland fires than forest United States. Destruction was likely fires, but they burned less WUI. The number of within wildfire perimeters has doubled since 1990s because both housing growth (47% additionally houses) area (53%). Most were WUI, which grew substantially during 2010s (2.6 million new WUI houses), albeit not as rapidly before. Any increases risk though, increase existing houses.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
48Earth system science data, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 16(8), С. 3601 - 3685
Опубликована: Авг. 13, 2024
Abstract. Climate change contributes to the increased frequency and intensity of wildfires globally, with significant impacts on society environment. However, our understanding global distribution extreme fires remains skewed, primarily influenced by media coverage regionalised research efforts. This inaugural State Wildfires report systematically analyses fire activity worldwide, identifying events from March 2023–February 2024 season. We assess causes, predictability, attribution these climate land use forecast future risks under different scenarios. During 2023–2024 season, 3.9×106 km2 burned slightly below average previous seasons, but carbon (C) emissions were 16 % above average, totalling 2.4 Pg C. Global C record in Canadian boreal forests (over 9 times average) reduced low African savannahs. Notable included record-breaking extent Canada, largest recorded wildfire European Union (Greece), drought-driven western Amazonia northern parts South America, deadly Hawaii (100 deaths) Chile (131 deaths). Over 232 000 people evacuated Canada alone, highlighting severity human impact. Our revealed that multiple drivers needed cause areas activity. In Greece, a combination high weather an abundance dry fuels probability fires, whereas area anomalies weaker regions lower fuel loads higher direct suppression, particularly Canada. Fire prediction showed mild anomalous signal 1 2 months advance, Greece had shorter predictability horizons. Attribution indicated modelled up 40 %, 18 50 due during respectively. Meanwhile, seasons magnitudes has significantly anthropogenic change, 2.9–3.6-fold increase likelihood 20.0–28.5-fold Amazonia. By end century, similar magnitude 2023 are projected occur 6.3–10.8 more frequently medium–high emission scenario (SSP370). represents first annual effort catalogue events, explain their occurrence, predict risks. consolidating state-of-the-art science delivering key insights relevant policymakers, disaster management services, firefighting agencies, managers, we aim enhance society's resilience promote advances preparedness, mitigation, adaptation. New datasets presented this work available https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11400539 (Jones et al., 2024) https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11420742 (Kelley 2024a).
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
29Nature Sustainability, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 7(4), С. 474 - 484
Опубликована: Фев. 26, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
24Landscape Ecology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 40(3)
Опубликована: Фев. 27, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
2Environmental Research Letters, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 19(4), С. 044028 - 044028
Опубликована: Март 8, 2024
Abstract Fires in the wildland-urban interface (WUI) are an important issue globally. To understand change of WUI, we develop a 9 km worldwide unified database for 2001–2020 with Random Forest models and satellite data. We find that WUI has been increasing all populated continents from 2001 to 2020 global relative increase is 24%, largest (∼59%) over Africa. Global total fire counts decrease by 10% 2005 2020, whereas fraction increases 23%. The burned area decreases 22% 35%. These mainly due expansion area. On continents, fractions higher than area, implying fires tend have smaller sizes wildland fires. also project future changes years 2030 2040, together projection under different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) scenarios Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2). projected (excluding Antarctica oceans) 5.9% 2040 compared 4.8% 2020. now most analyzed this study, unless stays at level SSP4-4.5. This study first step understanding scale demonstrates growing importance multi-year datasets developed can facilitate work quantifying impacts on air quality climate.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
15Nature Cities, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 1(1), С. 30 - 41
Опубликована: Янв. 11, 2024
With more people now living in urban areas than outside of them, urbanism is becoming an increasingly important socioeconomic and ecological arena for our species the twenty-first century. Understanding historical regional variation trajectories land use has potential to provide long-term perspectives on pressing contemporary challenges. Here we review how novel methods approaches are enabling archeology shed new light past 5,500 years life. From exploring variability 'extreme' environments studying interaction Earth system, argue that provides a critical, growing reservoir knowledge scientists planners. Humanity urban, but not new, examples showcase striking variation. This Review synthesizes methodological other advances illustrate compellingly can inform current science understanding.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
10Knowledge-Based Systems, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 290, С. 111547 - 111547
Опубликована: Фев. 20, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
8Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 103109 - 103109
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
1Environmental Science & Technology, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Фев. 3, 2025
Wildfires significantly contribute to ambient air pollution, yet our understanding of how wildfire smoke influences specific chemicals and their resulting concentration in remains incomplete. We combine 15 years daily species-specific PM2.5 concentrations from 700 pollution monitors with satellite-derived PM2.5, use a panel regression estimate smoke's contribution the 27 different chemical species PM2.5. Wildfire drives detectable increases 25 out largest observed for organic carbon, elemental potassium. find that originating wildfires burned structures had higher copper, lead, zinc, nickel relative fires did not burn structures. is responsible an increasing share multiple species, some which are particularly harmful health. Using risk assessment approach, we wildfire-induced enhancement carcinogenic could cause population cancer risk, but these very small other environmental risks. demonstrate combining ground-monitored data can be used measure influence on exposures at large scales.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
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