A new assessment framework to forecast land use and carbon storage under different SSP-RCP scenarios in China DOI
Wei Guo, Yongjia Teng, Jing Li

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 912, P. 169088 - 169088

Published: Dec. 5, 2023

Language: Английский

Multi-scenario simulation and ecological risk analysis of land use based on the PLUS model: A case study of Nanjing DOI
Gao Li-na, Fei Tao,

Runrui Liu

et al.

Sustainable Cities and Society, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 85, P. 104055 - 104055

Published: July 14, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

274

Dynamic simulation of land use change and assessment of carbon storage based on climate change scenarios at the city level: A case study of Bortala, China DOI Creative Commons
Ziyao Wang, Xin Li,

Yueting Mao

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 134, P. 108499 - 108499

Published: Dec. 23, 2021

Exploring future changes in land use and carbon storage (CS) under different climate scenarios is important for optimizing regional ecosystem service functions formulating sustainable socioeconomic development policies. We proposed a framework that integrates the system dynamics (SD) model, patch-generating simulation (PLUS) Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Service Tradeoffs (InVEST) model to dynamically simulate use/cover change (LUCC) CS at city level based on SSP-RCP provided by CMIP6. The simulations were applied Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture Xinjiang. Changes LUCC similar SSP126 SSP245 scenarios, but woodland expansion was more rapid scenario. SSP585 scenario from those other two this mainly caused continuous reduction area construction cultivated land. By 2050, results revealed highest (193.20 Tg), followed (192.75 Tg) (185.17 Tg). Overall, study suggest increases could be achieved controlling economic growth population growth, promoting an energy transition, expanding area.

Language: Английский

Citations

264

Land use/land cover prediction and analysis of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River under different scenarios DOI
Shengqing Zhang, Peng Yang, Jun Xia

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 833, P. 155238 - 155238

Published: April 13, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

142

Simulating future land use by coupling ecological security patterns and multiple scenarios DOI
Wenbin Nie, Bin Xu, Fan Yang

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 859, P. 160262 - 160262

Published: Nov. 16, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

109

Evaluating the impact of urban expansion on the habitat quality and constructing ecological security patterns: A case study of Jiziwan in the Yellow River Basin, China DOI Creative Commons

Le Wei,

Liang Zhou, Dongqi Sun

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 145, P. 109544 - 109544

Published: Oct. 26, 2022

Rapid urbanization has tremendously changed the urban ecological spaces and function of regional habitats, threatening security landscape sustainability. Understanding impact expansion on habitat quality is significant to security. However, research patterns in arid desert regions limited. Given gap, this study constructed optimized pattern Jiziwan (which refers areas similar shape Chinese character “几”) Yellow River Basin. To achieve aim, high obtained from Integrated Valuation Ecosystem Services Tradeoffs (InVEST) model were used as “sources”, corridors identified Minimal Cumulative Resistance (MCR) model. Simultaneously, integrated land use, natural, social, economic factors monitor assess Jiziwan. The results showed that: (1) have become more fragmented edge-expansion type outlying type; (2) 2000 2020, rate increased 25.95% 97.58%, which was negatively correlated with change good quality; (3) we finally 45 important corridors, 140 secondary 44 nodes that form an spatial “two barriers, three seven zones”. Our analytical framework offers a valuable tool for constructing selecting “sources” at scale. It can be applied other landscapes geographical contexts sustainable development regions.

Language: Английский

Citations

103

The ecosystem service values simulation and driving force analysis based on land use/land cover: A case study in inland rivers in arid areas of the Aksu River Basin, China DOI Creative Commons
Ling Xie, Hongwei Wang, Suhong Liu

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 138, P. 108828 - 108828

Published: April 8, 2022

The ecosystem of inland river basin is great significance to the socio-economic stability in arid area. Therefore, evaluate service values (ESVs) necessary for monitor changes. In this paper, response land use/land cover (LULC) during 1990 2020 Aksu River Basin (ARB) ESV was explored. advanced equivalent factor which modified by biomass and used ESVs ARB. A patch-generating use simulation (PLUS) simulate spatial distribution considering influences temperature (TEM), precipitation (PRE), NDVI, DEM, Soil organic matter content (SOMC) Human Activity Intensity Land Surface (HAILS) ARB 2030. results show that total study area showed an increasing trend (1.63 × 1010 yuan 5.64 yuan) from 2020. grassland had highest ESV, accounting nearly 50% detection q value following explanatory power ESV: HAILS (0.332) > NDVI (0.126) TEM (0.125) PRE (0.108) DEM(0.096) SOMC(0.089)and interaction between effect 0.493 on ESV. shape index (SI) negatively correlated with correlation coefficient −0.794. aggregation (AI) Shannon's Diversity Index (SHDI) were positively coefficients 0.872 0.878, respectively. a rapid increase 2030, would still be largest, per unit plowland, forestland, unused water 20131.07 yuan/km2, 64743.29 3054.21 41398.54 This paper can help decision-makers achieve sustainable management develop land-use strategies basins oases.

Language: Английский

Citations

100

Evaluating the impacts of land use change on ecosystem service values under multiple scenarios in the Hunshandake region of China DOI
Yu Xiao,

Mengdong Huang,

Gaodi Xie

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 850, P. 158067 - 158067

Published: Aug. 16, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

74

Simulation of future land use/cover change (LUCC) in typical watersheds of arid regions under multiple scenarios DOI
Qingzheng Wang, Qingyu Guan,

Yunfan Sun

et al.

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 335, P. 117543 - 117543

Published: Feb. 26, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

66

Construction of ecological network in Suzhou based on the PLUS and MSPA models DOI Creative Commons

Xinlei Xu,

Siyuan Wang,

Wenzhuo Rong

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 154, P. 110740 - 110740

Published: Aug. 1, 2023

Building regional ecological network can alleviate the notable contradiction between land use and development in process of rapid urbanization. Suzhou is center city Yangtze River Delta urban cluster a typical water city, but high intensity has fragmented its space. The study firstly introduced patch generation simulation (PLUS) model to simulate under priority scenario 2032, combining data 2002, 2012 2022 provide basis for construction later stage. Secondly, sources four periods were identified by morphological spatial pattern analysis (MSPA) landscape connectivity analysis, corridors nodes each period screened classified minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model, gravity hydrological analysis. Then we superimposed sources, corridors, construct an that develop harmony with dynamics. Finally, degree optimization was verified structural evaluation comparison 2022. results indicate (1) largest area among types, good substrate. Under guidance green strategy, woodland grassland areas will slightly increase 2032. overall generally remain consistent 2022, fragmentation be mitigated. (2) A total 23 are identified, mainly located near Taihu Lake, Yangcheng Lake River. Among them, most important source. 76 screened, including 31 22 protected potential mostly corridors. 54 selected, divided into 21 general strategic points, 12 11 restorative points 10 break points. (3) plan forms "three cores, pieces, multiple sources" proposes corresponding refined management measures promote sustainable region. In addition, this aims propose framework coupled simulation, which new ideas similar regions affected urbanization around globe.

Language: Английский

Citations

65

Using the InVEST-PLUS Model to Predict and Analyze the Pattern of Ecosystem Carbon storage in Liaoning Province, China DOI Creative Commons
Pengcheng Li,

Jundian Chen,

Yixin Li

et al.

Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 15(16), P. 4050 - 4050

Published: Aug. 16, 2023

Studying the spatiotemporal distribution pattern of carbon storage, balancing land development and utilization with ecological protection, promoting urban low-carbon sustainable are important topics under China’s “dual strategy” (Carbon emissions stabilize harmonize natural absorption). However, existing research has paid little attention to impact use changes different spatial policies on provincial-scale ecosystem storage. In this study, we established a density database for Liaoning Province obtained temporal storage over past 20 years. Then, based 16 driving factors multiple in Province, predicted cover (LUCC) three scenarios 2050 analyzed characteristics response mechanisms scenarios. The results showed that (1) LUCC directly affected 35.61% increase construction decrease 0.51 Tg 20-year period. (2) From 2020 2050, varied significantly among trend scenario (NTS), restoration (ERS), economic priority (EPS), values 2112.05 Tg, 2164.40 2105.90 respectively. Carbon exhibited positive growth, mainly due substantial forest area. (3) was characterized by “low center, high east, balanced west”. Therefore, can consider rationally formulating strictly implementing policy protection future planning so as control disorderly growth land, realize area, effectively enhance ensure realization goal strategy”.

Language: Английский

Citations

60