From known to unknown unknowns through pattern-oriented modelling: Driving research towards the Medawar zone DOI Creative Commons
Ming Wang, Hsiao‐Hsuan Wang,

Tomasz E. Koralewski

et al.

Ecological Modelling, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 497, P. 110853 - 110853

Published: Sept. 10, 2024

Language: Английский

Participatory modelling for sustainable development: Connecting coastal and rural social-ecological systems DOI Creative Commons
Javier Martínez‐López, J. Albaladejo, Joris de Vente

et al.

Environmental Modelling & Software, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 177, P. 106061 - 106061

Published: April 27, 2024

Integrated planning and informed decision-making require an understanding of the interactions between coastal rural social-ecological systems quantification impacts adaptive management across sectors. The Mar Menor lagoon (SE-Spain) provides example how a lack integrated can lead to environmental socio-economic crises. Here we present approach using participatory modelling identify optimal solutions for sustainable development this system. Through process, co-developed causal loop diagrams that formed starting point System Dynamics model. Model its application helped facilitating knowledge exchange stakeholders, challenges opportunities development, evaluate different policy solutions. results were evaluated multi-criteria analysis demonstrating potential as decision support system set

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Predicting impacts of agricultural land use on stream and river biota: method review, evaluation and guidance DOI
Alexander H. Elliott, S. Elizabeth Graham, P.A. Franklin

et al.

Environmental Reviews, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 32(4), P. 572 - 591

Published: May 30, 2024

Predicting land-use and land-management effects on stream river biota is an important aspect of land-water management, yet there are no collations what methods available to carry out those assessments nor guidance which use. This paper summarises a range with examples their applications, comments strengths weaknesses, evaluates them against set criteria, provides method selection. Assessment include empirical statistical mechanistic models, Bayesian networks, likelihood–consequence risk assessments, scoring methods, hybrid some can be informed by expert elicitation. An evaluation matrix for indicated that single ideal, selection needs carefully consider factors such as the physico-chemical stressor or biotic impact interest, intended stakeholders, scales assessment. One emergent principle separation relationships between land use stressors from biota, alternative could used. A tiered approach recommended, whereby simple low resource time requirements applied first, followed more sophisticated selected aspects if needed. There need ready-made at screening level, well development new address remaining gaps multiple stressors.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Convergent and transdisciplinary integration: On the future of integrated modeling of human-water systems DOI Open Access
Saman Razavi, Ashleigh Duffy, Leila Eamen

et al.

Authorea (Authorea), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: June 13, 2024

The notion of convergent and transdisciplinary integration, which is about braiding together different knowledge systems, becoming the mantra numerous initiatives aimed at tackling pressing water challenges. Yet, transition from rhetoric to actual implementation impeded by incongruence in semantics, methodologies, discourse among disciplinary scientists societal actors. This paper confronts these barriers advocating a synthesis existing missing links across frontiers distinguishing hydrology engineering, social sciences economics, Indigenous place-based knowledge, studies other interconnected natural systems such as atmosphere, cryosphere, ecosphere. Specifically, we embrace ‘integrated modeling’, both quantitative qualitative senses, vital exploratory instrument advance providing means navigate complexity manage uncertainty associated with understanding, diagnosing, predicting, governing human-water systems. While there are, arguably, no bounds pursuit inclusivity representing spectrum human processes around resources, advocate that integrated modeling can provide focused approach delineating scope through lens three fundamental questions: a) What ‘purpose’? b) constitutes sound ‘boundary judgment’? c) are ‘critical uncertainties’ how do they propagate subsystems? More broadly, call for investigating what warranted ‘systems complexity’, opposed unjustified ‘computational complexity’ when complex human-natural particular attention interdependencies feedbacks, nonlinear dynamics thresholds, hysteresis, time lags, legacy effects.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

The importance of model structure and soil data detail on the simulations of crop growth and water use: A case study for sugarcane DOI Creative Commons
Murilo dos Santos Vianna, Klaas Metselaar, Quirijn de Jong van Lier

et al.

Agricultural Water Management, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 301, P. 108938 - 108938

Published: July 5, 2024

Process-based crop models have faced rapid development over the last years, and many modelling platforms are now available can be used in a wide range of conditions. Whilst selection model should suited to purpose its application, very few studies focused on impact choosing different structures data details simulation outputs. One important aspect is soil water dynamics, which simulated at levels terms approaches. In this study, we investigated structure detail simulations sugarcane growth irrigation scheduling. Three routines (Standalone, Tipping-Bucket, SWAP) were coupled with SAMUCA calibrated comprehensive field experiment dataset. We also tested influence using simplified homogeneous (SL) detailed (DL) profile information performance. The framework was evaluated against independent experiments across Brazil simulate long-term After calibration, SWAP-DL showed highest accuracy moisture predictions, 6 % error (RRMSE), but difference from TippingBucket-DL small (8 %). While performance stalk dry mass, LAI water-use efficiency within found literature, showing significant impacts drought still lacking for more rigorous evaluation. Both SWAP tipping-bucket approaches higher robustness as compared Standalone method, avoided when critical growth. use method may preferred research goal parameters limited. SWAP-SAMUCA provide an extended ability represent agrohydrological processes plantations process understanding.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

From known to unknown unknowns through pattern-oriented modelling: Driving research towards the Medawar zone DOI Creative Commons
Ming Wang, Hsiao‐Hsuan Wang,

Tomasz E. Koralewski

et al.

Ecological Modelling, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 497, P. 110853 - 110853

Published: Sept. 10, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

1