Forests, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(8), P. 1292 - 1292

Published: July 24, 2024

Rapidly changing climate issues and increasingly severe carbon emissions are great challenges to the peaking neutrality strategy. Analyzing impact of future land use changes on can provide an important basis reference for scientifically constructing a low-carbon sustainable territorial spatial planning, as well realizing goal dual-carbon Based data, agricultural production activity energy consumption statistics, this study simulated Yangtze River Delta region (YRDR) from 2030 2060 under natural development (ND) scenario (SD) by using Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model analyzed impacts emissions. The results showed that: (1) simulation obtained PLUS were highly consistent with actual OA value 97.0%, Kappa coefficient 0.952, FoM 0.403; (2) SD 2060, quantity construction was effectively controlled, distributions cropland forests found dominate in north south River, respectively; (3) Anhui Province major contributor (accounted 49.5%) net absorption while Zhejiang 63.3%) forest YRDR during period 2020–2060 scenario; (4) Carbon main source proportions higher than 99% both ND scenarios. These findings underscore urgent need government take measures balance relationships between ecological protection economic development, which provides optimization structure policy formulation future.

Language: Английский