Earth Systems to Anthropocene Systems: An Evolutionary, System-of-Systems, Convergence Paradigm for Interdependent Societal Challenges

Environmental Science & Technology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 57(14), P. 5504 - 5520

Published: March 31, 2023

Humans have made profound changes to the Earth. The resulting societal challenges of Anthropocene (e.g., climate change and impacts, renewable energy, adaptive infrastructure, disasters, pandemics, food insecurity, biodiversity loss) are complex systemic, with causes, interactions, consequences that cascade across a globally connected system systems. In this Critical Review, we turn our "origin story" for insight, briefly tracing formation Universe Earth, emergence life, evolution multicellular organisms, mammals, primates, humans, as well more recent transitions involving agriculture, urbanization, industrialization, computerization. Focusing on genetic evolution, brain, cultural which includes technological identify nested evolutionary sequence geophysical, biophysical, sociocultural, sociotechnical systems, emphasizing causal mechanisms first formed, then transformed, Earth systems into Describing how coevolved, illustrating ensuing became tightly integrated multiple spatial, temporal, organizational scales, conclude by proposing an evolutionary, system-of-systems, convergence paradigm entire family interdependent Anthropocene.

Language: Английский

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Supporting stakeholder dialogue on ecosystem service tradeoffs with a simulation tool for land use configuration effects

Environmental Modelling & Software, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 179, P. 106097 - 106097

Published: June 5, 2024

Various approaches are available to assist stakeholders in identifying and resolving ecosystem service tradeoffs. However, existing tools fall short simulating land use configuration effects on services subsequently making these accessible users with varying levels of expertise. To address this gap, we introduce PLACES, a tool that estimates impacts multiple by incorporating landscape-level processes. Tool results provided real-time visualized support dialogue between different stakeholders. This study presents the development application during mixed stakeholder workshop, after which mental models, questionnaires, videos were analyzed evaluate PLACES. The increased participants' understanding insights spatial processes sparked discussions societal goals for sustainable landscapes. For future applications encourage careful tailoring landscape representation impact simulations match knowledge respective users.

Language: Английский

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Decision-support systems for water management

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 610, P. 127928 - 127928

Published: May 13, 2022

Language: Английский

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ValueDecisions, a web app to support decisions with conflicting objectives, multiple stakeholders, and uncertainty

Environmental Modelling & Software, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 150, P. 105361 - 105361

Published: Feb. 16, 2022

Complex environmental and public policy decisions profit from structured procedures such as multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA). To support decisions, the new open source application ValueDecisions provides advanced visualization with no programming expected users. Based on multi-attribute value theory (MAVT), it offers for conflicting interacting objectives, multiple stakeholders, uncertain consequences of options. Programmed in R, shiny web framework makes accessible via a graphical user interface browser. We exemplify using wastewater infrastructure planning case Paris region. surveyed preferences 655 citizens conducted sensitivity preference parameters. The best management options were robust across range profiles assumptions. evaluate app, we developed novel usability test based ISO standard software quality students studies.

Language: Английский

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Integrated assessment across building and urban scales: A review and proposal for a more holistic, multi-scale, system-of-systems approach

Sustainable Cities and Society, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 82, P. 103915 - 103915

Published: April 26, 2022

Language: Английский

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Evaluation of decision-support tools for coastal flood and erosion control: A multicriteria perspective

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 373, P. 123924 - 123924

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

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Challenges and Opportunities for Using Hazard and Loss Models to Inform Recovery Decision-Making after the 2023 Severe Weather Events in New Zealand

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 105215 - 105215

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

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Putting predictions in public: professional perspectives on the risks and benefits of changing wildfire warning systems

Environmental Hazards, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1 - 22

Published: Feb. 24, 2025

Recent experiences of intense wildfire events in fire-prone landscapes have sparked interest and investment the use simulation models other predictive tools to inform development effective warning systems. As projections increasingly frequent wildfires eventuate, there is growing inclusion more intelligence public warnings mitigate disastrous losses during prior fire events. Predictive spread maps (FSMs) show predicted extent a given occasionally been shown as form hazard information Australia. Existing literature inquiry recommendations highlighted need for evidence-based research support translation such novel technologies into practice. Our research, which involved interviews with 44 sector experts, explores emergency management professionals' current uses FSMs, their views on potential release future. This article investigates cultural institutional constraints underlying implementation uptake by its users. Although specific Australian context, findings this case study offer valuable insights others considering integration

Language: Английский

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The role of decision support tools in drought management: Insights from the Netherlands

Environmental Science & Policy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 168, P. 104065 - 104065

Published: April 17, 2025

Language: Английский

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A comparison of numerical approaches for statistical inference with stochastic models

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 37(8), P. 3041 - 3061

Published: April 13, 2023

Abstract Due to our limited knowledge about complex environmental systems, predictions of their behavior under different scenarios or decision alternatives are subject considerable uncertainty. As this uncertainty can often be relevant for societal decisions, the consideration, quantification and communication it is very important. internal stochasticity, poorly known influence factors, only partly mechanisms, in many cases, a stochastic model needed get an adequate description implies need infer constant parameters, as well time-course states, high-dimensional inference problem calibration has solved. This challenging from methodological numerical perspective. To illustrate aspects show options successfully tackle it, we compare three approaches: Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, Particle Markov Chain Conditional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Sampling. case study, select analysis hydrological data with model. We conclude that performance investigated techniques comparable analyzed system, also generality practical considerations may taken into account guide choice which technique more appropriate particular application.

Language: Английский

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