Nature Sustainability, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 6(11), P. 1343 - 1351
Published: July 3, 2023
Language: Английский
Sustainable Cities and Society, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 68, P. 102786 - 102786
Published: Feb. 21, 2021
As urban populations continue to grow through the 21st century, more people are projected be at risk of exposure climate change-induced extreme events. To investigate complexity floods, this study applied an interlinked social-ecological-technological systems (SETS) vulnerability framework by developing flood index for six US cities. Indicators were selected reflect and illustrate exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity flooding each three domains SETS. We quantified 18 indicators normalized them cities' 500-yr floodplain area census block group level. Clusters vulnerable areas identified differently SETS domain, some floods in than one domain. Results provided support decision-making reducing risks flooding, considering social, ecological, technological as well hotspots where multiple sources coexist. The spatially explicit can transferred other regions facing challenging types environmental hazards. Mapping helps reveal intersections complex interactions inform policy-making building resilient cities face events change impacts.
Language: Английский
Citations
186
Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 54(1), P. 287 - 315
Published: Oct. 13, 2021
Every year flood events lead to thousands of casualties and significant economic damage. Mapping the areas at risk flooding is critical reducing these losses, yet until last few years such information was available for only a handful well-studied locations. This review surveys recent progress address this fundamental issue through novel combination appropriate physics, efficient numerical algorithms, high-performance computing, new sources big data, model automation frameworks. The describes fluid mechanics inundation models used predict it, before going on consider developments that have led in five creation first true over entire terrestrial land surface.
Language: Английский
Citations
142
Communications Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 2(1)
Published: Aug. 26, 2021
Precipitation extremes will increase in a warming climate, but the response of flood magnitudes to heavier precipitation events is less clear. Historically, there little evidence for systematic increases magnitude despite observed extremes. Here we investigate how change warming, using large initial-condition ensemble simulations with single climate model, coupled hydrological model. The model chain was applied historical (1961–2000) and warmer future (2060–2099) conditions 78 watersheds Bavaria, region comprising headwater catchments Inn, Danube Main River, thus representing an area expressed heterogeneity. For majority catchments, identify ‘return interval threshold’ relationship between increases: at return intervals above this threshold, further extreme frequency clearly yield increased magnitudes; below modulated by land surface processes. We suggest that threshold behaviour can reconcile climatological perspectives on changing risk climate. Germany rainfall processes not above,
Language: Английский
Citations
128
Science Advances, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 8(13)
Published: April 1, 2022
Post-wildfire extreme rainfall events can have destructive impacts in the western United States. Using two climate model large ensembles, we assess future risk of fire weather being followed by this region. By mid-21st century, a high warming scenario (RCP8.5), report increases number within 1 year at least one event. 2100, frequency these compound 100% California and 700% Pacific Northwest Community Earth System Model v1 Large Ensemble. We further project that more than 90% California, Colorado, will be three spatially colocated five years. Our results point to with substantially increased post-fire hydrologic risks across much
Language: Английский
Citations
122
Science Advances, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 8(32)
Published: Aug. 12, 2022
Despite the recent prevalence of severe drought, California faces a broadly underappreciated risk floods. Here, we investigate physical characteristics "plausible worst case scenario" extreme storm sequences capable giving rise to "megaflood" conditions using combination climate model data and high-resolution weather modeling. Using from Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble, find that change has already doubled likelihood an event producing catastrophic flooding, but larger future increases are likely due continued warming. We further runoff in scenario is 200 400% greater than historical values Sierra Nevada because increased precipitation rates decreased snow fraction. These findings have direct implications for flood emergency management, as well broader hazard mitigation adaptation activities.
Language: Английский
Citations
105
Results in Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 22, P. 102123 - 102123
Published: April 9, 2024
Climate change is a serious global issue causing more extreme weather patterns, resulting in frequent and severe events like urban flooding. This review explores the connection between climate flooding, offering statistical, scientific, advanced perspectives. Analyses of precipitation patterns show clear changes, establishing strong link heightened intensity rainfall events. Hydrological modeling case studies provide compelling scientific evidence attributing flooding to climate-induced changes. Urban infrastructure, including transportation networks critical facilities, increasingly vulnerable, worsening impact on people's lives businesses. Examining adaptation strategies, highlights need for resilient planning integration green infrastructure. Additionally, it delves into role technologies, such as artificial intelligence, remote sensing, predictive modeling, improving flood prediction, monitoring, management. The socio-economic implications are discussed, emphasizing unequal vulnerability importance inclusive policies. In conclusion, stresses urgency addressing through holistic analysis statistical trends, evidence, infrastructure vulnerabilities, adaptive measures. technologies comprehensive understanding essential developing effective, strategies. serves valuable resource, insights policymakers, researchers, practitioners striving climate-resilient futures amid escalating impacts.
Language: Английский
Citations
52
Current Climate Change Reports, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 11(1)
Published: Oct. 2, 2024
Language: Английский
Citations
23
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 6(1), P. 35 - 50
Published: Jan. 9, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
17
Nature Water, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown
Published: Jan. 13, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
5
Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 25(2), P. 747 - 816
Published: Feb. 20, 2025
Abstract. Compound flooding, where the combination or successive occurrence of two more flood drivers leads to a greater impact, can exacerbate adverse consequences particularly in coastal–estuarine regions. This paper reviews practices and trends compound research synthesizes regional global findings. A systematic review is employed construct literature database 279 studies relevant flooding context. explores types events their mechanistic processes, it terminology throughout literature. Considered are six (fluvial, pluvial, coastal, groundwater, damming/dam failure, tsunami) five precursor environmental conditions (soil moisture, snow, temp/heat, fire, drought). Furthermore, this summarizes methodology study application trends, as well considers influences climate change urban environments. Finally, highlights knowledge gaps discusses implications on future practices. Our recommendations for (1) adopt consistent approaches, (2) expand geographic coverage research, (3) pursue inter-comparison projects, (4) develop modelling frameworks that better couple dynamic Earth systems, (5) design coastal infrastructure with compounding mind.
Language: Английский
Citations
2