Robust historical and future drying trends in Central Asia evidenced by the latest observation and modeling datasets DOI Creative Commons
Yuan Qiu, Zhongwei Yan, Jinming Feng

et al.

Atmospheric Research, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 295, P. 107033 - 107033

Published: Sept. 25, 2023

As one of the largest arid and semiarid regions, Central Asia (CA) is prone to drought, which imposes significant impacts on human communities ecosystems. Understanding historical future wetting/drying trend with backdrop climate change paramount sustainable development in CA. However, previous studies for period yielded inconsistent results due different data, study durations methods used those are rare. By analyzing latest generated long-term (1894–2020) homogenized station observations, multiple global model (GCM) outputs their dynamically statistically downscaled results, we find robust drying CA, especially growing season (April–September). Though there an increasing tendency regional precipitation during 1894–2020 Standard Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) shows a decreasing dominating influence warming. Compared non-growing (October–March), SPEI more profound season. Moreover, calculated based GCM consistently CA throughout 21st century, robustly holds against approaches calculate potential evapotranspiration (i.e., Thornthwaite Penman-Monteith equations). Besides SPEI, simulated soil moisture surface layer also exhibits tendency. All these lines evidence suggest trends have important implications adaptation this region.

Language: Английский

The use of random forest to identify climate and human interference on vegetation coverage changes in southwest China DOI Creative Commons
Yuyi Wang, Xi Chen, Man Gao

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 144, P. 109463 - 109463

Published: Sept. 19, 2022

Identifying vegetation changes and the associated driving forces provides a valuable reference for developing ecological restoration strategies. However, it remains challenge to disentangle impacts of climate, vegetation, human interference on changes. In this study, temporal variations Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) during 2000–2015 in space were used identify greening (restoration) browning (degradation) areas southwest China. The Random Forest (RF) approach was applied distinguish main areas. Results showed that RF can be effectively learn complex non–linear interactions between change, local interferences. prominent 85.90 % study area, while 5.59 area still experienced significant degradation. Population pressure an important factor alter sign long-term trends. trends are mainly observed high elevation with low population density (e.g., lower than 180 people/km2 altitude above 1000 m), which attributed both artificial reforestation measures climate warming. contrast, trend concentrated temporally intensified due urbanization (over people/km2) increased rate 20 per year). results strengthen our understanding convolutions among activities,

Language: Английский

Citations

45

Anthropogenic influence on extreme temperature and precipitation in Central Asia DOI Creative Commons
Bijan Fallah, Emmanuele Russo, Christoph Menz

et al.

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 13(1)

Published: April 26, 2023

Abstract We investigate the contribution of anthropogenic forcing to extreme temperature and precipitation events in Central Asia (CA) during last 60 years. bias-adjust downscale two Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) ensemble outputs, with natural (labelled as hist-nat , driven only by solar volcanic forcing) plus hist all-forcings), $$0.25^{\circ } \times 0.25 ^{\circ }$$ 0 . 25 × spatial resolution. Each contains six models from ISIMIP, based on Coupled Inter-comparison phase 6 (CMIP6). The presented downscaling methodology is necessary create a reliable climate state for regional impact studies. Our analysis shows higher risk heat (factor 4 signal-to-noise ratio) over large parts CA due influence. Furthermore, likelihood CA, especially Kyrgyzstan Tajikistan, can be attributed (over 100 $$\%$$ % changes intensity 20 frequency). Given that these regions show high rainfall-triggered landslides floods historical times, we report human-induced warming contribute vulnerable areas CA. high-resolution data set used studies focusing attribution freely available scientific community.

Language: Английский

Citations

28

Climate change impacts and threats on basic livelihood resources, food security and social stability in Afghanistan DOI
Lutfullah Safi,

Mujeebullah Mujeeb,

Kawoon Sahak

et al.

GeoJournal, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 89(2)

Published: April 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

13

Metal–Organic Framework-Assisted Atmospheric Water Harvesting Enables Cheap Clean Water Available in an Arid Climate: A Perspective DOI Open Access

Yang Hu,

Linhui Jia, Hong Xu

et al.

Materials, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 18(2), P. 379 - 379

Published: Jan. 15, 2025

Extracting water directly from the atmosphere seems to be a perfect way solve scarcity facing 2 billion people; however, traditional Atmospheric Water Harvesting (AWH) lacks ability adsorb molecules in an arid climate. Porous materials are capable of assisting adsorption; currently, only certain customizable Metal-Organic Frameworks (MOFs) able meet standard adsorbing at low humidity and releasing temperatures times that can realize assisted AWH's practical energy-efficient use (Energy consumption < 5kWh/L-water). From this perspective, we offer concise review advancements enhanced AWH technologies, delve into attributes appropriate MOFs, insights potential future directions MOFs-AWH. In conclusion, underscore development designable MOFs holds key widespread implementation AWH, promising availability affordable clean anywhere world.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Exploring the impact of the recent global warming on extreme weather events in Central Asia using the counterfactual climate data ATTRICI v1.1 DOI Creative Commons
Bijan Fallah, Masoud Rostami

Climatic Change, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 177(5)

Published: May 1, 2024

Abstract We study the impact of recent global warming on extreme climatic events in Central Asia (CA) for 1901-2019 by comparing composite representation observational climate with a hypothetical counterfactual one that does not include long-term trend. The data are produced based simple detrending approach, using mean temperature (GMT) as independent variable and removing trends from variables data. This trend elimination is causality, day-to-day variability remains preserved. analysis done paper shows increase frequency magnitude precipitation can be attributed to warming. Specifically, probability experiencing +7 K anomaly event CA increases up factor seven some areas due reveals significant heatwave occurrences Asia, dataset GSWP3-W5E5 (later called also factual) showing more frequent prolonged heat than scenarios without trend, evident disparity between factual data, underscores critical changes weather patterns, highlighting urgent need robust adaptation mitigation strategies. Additionally, self-calibrated Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI), sensitivity dry wet coupled analyzed. under conditions enhanced compared scenario, especially over largest deserts CA. expansion regions aligns well pattern desert development observed decades.

Language: Английский

Citations

7

Microplastic transport during desertification in drylands: Abundance and characterization of soil microplastics in the Amu Darya-Aral Sea basin, Central Asia DOI
Peng Zhang, Jin Wang, Lei Huang

et al.

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 348, P. 119353 - 119353

Published: Oct. 21, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

14

Spatiotemporal differentiation and mechanisms of ecological quality in Central Asia DOI Creative Commons
Xiong Wang, Xixi Du, Yi Qin

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 158, P. 111514 - 111514

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

With the frequent occurrence of worldwide extreme climate events, human-induced ecosystem degradation has seriously threatened realization Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), especially in arid ecologically fragile areas. Macro-scale ecological quality (EQ) monitoring and exploration its driving mechanisms have become research hotspots. However, this field still lacks a method framework with strong comparability, adaptability transferability, which significantly restricts applicability results. In study, for exploring spatial temporal changes EQ their based on text summarization information extraction is constructed. Taking Central Asia as typical case, study outlines paths, explores influencing representative drivers, verifies effectiveness comparison evolution at multiple scales. The results indicate that overall exhibited slight inverted U-shaped trend, paths falling into five categories: urban expansion, agricultural development, resource extraction, change, protection. fragmentation areas high main landscape characteristic Asia. Furthermore, land use intensity water efficiency are significant factors Asia's evolution. Over time, interaction between anthropogenic natural played an essential role Asia, interactions altitude, aridity, efficiency, gradually intensifying. This implication construction EQ-related macro scale.

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Climate change is turning more of Central Asia into desert DOI
Giorgia Guglielmi

Nature, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: June 16, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

17

Why has the summer rainfall increased prominently in the West Tarim Basin of Northwest China since 2010? DOI Creative Commons
Lianglu Qu, Yong Zhao,

Yaman Zhou

et al.

Atmospheric Research, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 284, P. 106620 - 106620

Published: Jan. 13, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

10

Radiative Forcing and Vertical Heating Rate of Dust Aerosols in Southwestern Tajikistan during Summer 2023 DOI
Zhengpeng Li, Tian Zhou, Jianrong Bi

et al.

Atmospheric Environment, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 121051 - 121051

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0