Atmospheric rivers drive exceptional Saharan dust transport towards Europe DOI Creative Commons
Diana Francis, Ricardo Fonseca, Narendra Nelli

et al.

Atmospheric Research, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 266, P. 105959 - 105959

Published: Dec. 7, 2021

This study highlights the occurrence of atmospheric rivers (ARs) over northwest Africa towards Europe, which were accompanied by intense episodes Saharan dust transport all way to Scandinavia, in winter season. Using a combination observational and reanalysis data, we investigate two extreme dusty AR events February 2021 assess their impact on snow melt Alps. The warm, moist, air mass (spatially-averaged 2-meter temperature water vapour mixing ratio anomalies up 8 K 3 g kg−1, aerosol optical depths loadings 0.85 11 m−2, respectively) led 50% 40% decrease depth surface albedo, respectively, less than one month during ARs show increasing trends past 4 decades, with 78% associated severe Europe.

Language: Английский

A typology of compound weather and climate events DOI
Jakob Zscheischler, Olivia Martius, Seth Westra

et al.

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 1(7), P. 333 - 347

Published: June 15, 2020

Language: Английский

Citations

955

Anthropogenic intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes DOI
Hayley J. Fowler, Geert Lenderink, Andreas F. Prein

et al.

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 2(2), P. 107 - 122

Published: Jan. 15, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

569

Causes, impacts and patterns of disastrous river floods DOI
Bruno Merz, Günter Blöschl, Sergiy Vorogushyn

et al.

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 2(9), P. 592 - 609

Published: Aug. 10, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

438

A low-to-no snow future and its impacts on water resources in the western United States DOI
Erica R. Siirila‐Woodburn, Alan M. Rhoades, Benjamin J. Hatchett

et al.

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 2(11), P. 800 - 819

Published: Oct. 26, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

298

Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events DOI Creative Commons
Nina Ridder, A. J. Pitman, Seth Westra

et al.

Nature Communications, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 11(1)

Published: Nov. 24, 2020

Compound events (CEs) are weather and climate that result from multiple hazards or drivers with the potential to cause severe socio-economic impacts. Compared isolated hazards, hazards/drivers associated CEs can lead higher economic losses death tolls. Here, we provide first analysis of multivariate potentially causing high-impact floods, droughts, fires. Using observations reanalysis data during 1980-2014, analyse 27 hazard pairs spatial estimates their occurrences on global scale. We identify hotspots including many socio-economically important regions such as North America, Russia western Europe. relative importance different in six continental highlight posing highest risk. Our results initial guidance assess regional risk CE an observationally-based dataset aid evaluation models for simulating CEs.

Language: Английский

Citations

284

An Unprecedented Set of High‐Resolution Earth System Simulations for Understanding Multiscale Interactions in Climate Variability and Change DOI Creative Commons
Ping Chang, Shaoqing Zhang, Gökhan Danabasoglu

et al.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 12(12)

Published: Nov. 18, 2020

Abstract We present an unprecedented set of high‐resolution climate simulations, consisting a 500‐year pre‐industrial control simulation and 250‐year historical future from 1850 to 2100. A configuration the Community Earth System Model version 1.3 (CESM1.3) is used for simulations with nominal horizontal resolution 0.25° atmosphere land models 0.1° ocean sea‐ice models. At these resolutions, model permits tropical cyclones mesoscale eddies, allowing interactions between synoptic phenomena large‐scale circulations. An overview results provided focus on drift, mean climate, internal modes variability, representation climates, extreme events. Comparisons are made solutions identical using standard (nominal 1°) CESM1.3 available observations period address some key scientific questions concerning impact benefit increasing in simulations. emerging prominent feature intermittent occurrence polynyas Weddell Sea its interaction Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Overall, show significant improvements representing global temperature changes, seasonal cycle sea‐surface mixed layer depth, events relationships modes.

Language: Английский

Citations

259

The formation, character and changing nature of mesoscale convective systems DOI
Russ S. Schumacher, Kristen L. Rasmussen

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 1(6), P. 300 - 314

Published: June 2, 2020

Language: Английский

Citations

190

Future precipitation increase from very high resolution ensemble downscaling of extreme atmospheric river storms in California DOI Creative Commons
Xingying Huang, Daniel L. Swain, Alex Hall

et al.

Science Advances, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 6(29)

Published: July 15, 2020

Precipitation extremes will likely intensify under climate change. However, much uncertainty surrounds intensification of high-magnitude events that are often inadequately resolved by global models. In this analysis, we develop a framework involving targeted dynamical downscaling historical and future extreme precipitation produced large ensemble model. This is applied to "atmospheric river" storms in California. We find substantial (10 40%) increase total accumulated precipitation, with the largest relative increases valleys mountain lee-side areas. also report even higher more spatially uniform hourly maximum intensity, which exceed Clausius-Clapeyron expectations. Up 85% arises from thermodynamically driven water vapor, smaller contribution increased zonal wind strength. These findings imply challenges for flood management California, given intense atmospheric river-induced extremes.

Language: Английский

Citations

142

A warming-induced reduction in snow fraction amplifies rainfall extremes DOI
Mohammed Ombadi, Mark D. Risser, Alan M. Rhoades

et al.

Nature, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 619(7969), P. 305 - 310

Published: June 28, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

129

TempestExtremes v2.1: a community framework for feature detection, tracking, and analysis in large datasets DOI Creative Commons
Paul Ullrich, Colin M. Zarzycki, Elizabeth McClenny

et al.

Geoscientific model development, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 14(8), P. 5023 - 5048

Published: Aug. 13, 2021

Abstract. TempestExtremes (TE) is a multifaceted framework for feature detection, tracking, and scientific analysis of regional or global Earth system datasets on either rectilinear unstructured/native grids. Version 2.1 the TE now provides extensive support examining both nodal (i.e., pointwise) areal features, including tropical extratropical cyclones, monsoonal lows depressions, atmospheric rivers, blocking, precipitation clusters, heat waves. Available operations include thresholding, calculations quantities related to features such as accumulated cyclone energy azimuthal wind profiles, filtering data based characteristics stereographic compositing. This paper describes core algorithms (kernels) that have been added since version 1.0, editing pointwise trajectory files, composition fields around generation masks via thresholding tracking in time. Several examples are provided how these kernels can be combined produce composite evaluating understanding common their underlying processes. These analyzing fraction from compositing meteorological calculating fractional contribution poleward vapor transport building climatology blocks.

Language: Английский

Citations

121