Climate-induced storminess forces major increases in future storm surge hazard in the South China Sea region DOI Creative Commons
Melissa Wood, Ivan D. Haigh,

Quan Quan Le

et al.

Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 23(7), P. 2475 - 2504

Published: July 13, 2023

Abstract. Coastal floods, driven by extreme sea levels, are one of the most dangerous natural hazards. The people at highest risk those living in low-lying coastal areas exposed to tropical-cyclone-forced storm surges. Here we apply a novel modelling framework estimate past and/or present and future storm-surge-level extreme-sea-level probabilities along coastlines southern China, Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia. A regional hydrodynamic model is configured simulate 10 000 years synthetic tropical cyclone activity, representative past/present (1980–2017) high-emission-scenario (2015–2050) period. Results show that surges, therefore total water will increase substantially coming decades, an frequency intense cyclones. Storm surges Chinese northern Vietnamese up 1 m, significantly larger than expected changes mean sea-level rise over same length coastline presently surge levels 2.5 m or greater more double 2050. Sections Cambodian, Thai, Malaysian projected experience (at higher return periods) future, not previously seen, due southward shift tracks. Given these findings, flood management adaptation should be reviewed for their resilience against levels.

Language: Английский

Adapting agriculture to climate change via sustainable irrigation: biophysical potentials and feedbacks DOI Creative Commons
Lorenzo Rosa

Environmental Research Letters, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 17(6), P. 063008 - 063008

Published: May 27, 2022

Abstract Irrigated agriculture accounts for ∼90% of anthropogenic freshwater consumption, is deployed on 22% cultivated land, and provides 40% global food production. Expanding irrigation onto currently underperforming rainfed croplands crucial to meet future demand without further agricultural expansion associated encroachment natural ecosystems. Establishing also a potential climate adaptation solution alleviate heat- water-stress crops reduce variability extremes. Despite being one the land management practices with largest environmental hydroclimatic impacts, role adapt change achieve sustainability goals has just started be quantified. This study reviews biophysical opportunities feedbacks ‘sustainable irrigation’. I describe concept sustainable expansion—where there are increase productivity over water-limited by adopting that do not deplete stocks impair aquatic may avert but create additional externalities often neglected. review highlights major gaps in analysis understanding change. implications (a) security, (b) conditions, (c) water quality, (d) soil salinization, (e) storage infrastructure, (f) energy use. These help explain challenges achieving irrigated thus point toward solutions research needs.

Language: Английский

Citations

124
Rising temperatures erode human sleep globally DOI Creative Commons
Kelton Minor, Andreas Bjerre-Nielsen,

Sigga Svala Jonasdottir

et al.

One Earth, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 5(5), P. 534 - 549

Published: May 1, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

123
How to make climate-neutral aviation fly DOI Creative Commons
Romain Sacchi, Viola Becattini, Paolo Gabrielli

et al.

Nature Communications, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(1)

Published: July 6, 2023

The European aviation sector must substantially reduce climate impacts to reach net-zero goals. This reduction, however, not be limited flight CO2 emissions since such a narrow focus leaves up 80% of unaccounted for. Based on rigorous life-cycle assessment and time-dependent quantification non-CO2 impacts, here we show that, from technological standpoint, using electricity-based synthetic jet fuels compensating via direct air carbon capture storage (DACCS) can enable climate-neutral aviation. However, with continuous increase in traffic, fuel produced electricity renewables would exert excessive pressure economic natural resources. Alternatively, fossil DACCS require massive volumes prolong dependence fuels. Here, demonstrate that will fly if traffic is reduced limit the scale mitigate.

Language: Английский

Citations

73
The coral microbiome in sickness, in health and in a changing world DOI
Christian R. Voolstra, Jean‐Baptiste Raina, Melanie Dörr

et al.

Nature Reviews Microbiology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 22(8), P. 460 - 475

Published: March 4, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

47
Climate change scenarios in fisheries and aquatic conservation research DOI Creative Commons
Matthew G. Burgess, Sarah L. Becker, Ryan E. Langendorf

et al.

ICES Journal of Marine Science, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 80(5), P. 1163 - 1178

Published: April 4, 2023

Abstract Scenarios are central to fisheries and aquatic conservation research on climate change. project future greenhouse-gas emissions, which models translate into warming projections. Recent global development trends have significantly changed our understanding of plausible emissions pathways 2100 sensitivities emissions. Here, we review these developments make recommendations for scenario use in research. Although uncertain, recent suggests that scenarios producing ∼3.4–4.5 W/m2 radiative forcing by (e.g. SSP2-3.4 SSP2-4.5/RCP4.5) might be most plausible. This corresponds ∼2–3 degrees C with median sensitivities, or 1.5–4 considering climate-system uncertainties. Higher- lower-emissions RCP2.6 RCP6.0) should explored However, high-emission (RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, SSP3-7.0) seem implausible used clear rationales caveats ensure results not misinterpreted scholars, policymakers, media. We analyse papers published from 2015 2022 major journals, find RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5 the commonly scenarios, though RCP4.5/SSP2-4.5 has increased since 2020. Studies predominantly quantitative rather than qualitative differences between scenarios’ impacts.

Language: Английский

Citations

44
An assessment of floating photovoltaic systems and energy storage methods: A comprehensive review DOI Creative Commons

A. H. Garrod,

Shanza Neda Hussain, Aritra Ghosh

et al.

Results in Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 21, P. 101940 - 101940

Published: Feb. 21, 2024

In recent years, floating photovoltaic (FPV) systems have emerged as a promising technology for generating renewable energy using the surface of water bodies such reservoirs, lakes, and oceans. FPV offer several advantages over traditional land-based solar arrays, including increased land-use efficiency, reduced evaporation, improved cooling maintenance. However, like all power systems, FPVs are subject to variability intermittency due changes in weather, seasons, time day. The environmental impact is discussed along with deployment consideration feasibility better understanding system. Challenges associated this addressed by progressed research suggesting integration various storage hybrid systems. most areas researched paper look at hydropower plants (HPP), parts world experiencing droughts HPP not working its optimum capacity. A review available literature has been conducted on topic offshore onshore electricity generation photovoltaics identify challenges opportunities presented. This work looks variety other sources varying readiness levels. concludes possibility integrating different technologies existing highlights boons doing so some examples. Ultimately, current well future perspectives provided which consolidate being done give recommendations work.

Language: Английский

Citations

35
Simulation and attribution analysis of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage of Hainan Island from 2015 to 2050 DOI Creative Commons
Wenyin Wu,

Zanhui Huang,

Zhongyi Sun

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 917, P. 170348 - 170348

Published: Jan. 26, 2024

Terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage (TECS) could significantly affect the concentration of atmospheric CO2, which is critical for climate change prediction. Along these lines, Integrated Valuation Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs model was employed to determine TECS Hainan Island (HN) from 2015 2050 accurately. Besides, Future Land-use Simulation combined with natural anthropogenic factors used forecast land-use types 2025 in HN by considering different Shared-socioeconomic pathway-Rrepresentative pathway (SSP-RCP) scenarios. Finally, geographical detector explored influence mechanism concerning TECS. Under SSP1-RCP1.9 scenario, will be gradually increased 388.10 million tons 2050, mainly due increase forest areas fact that majority grassland western part being converted into forest. SSP-RCP scenarios except SSP1-RCP1.9, HN's expected decrease loss coastal low-altitude areas. From single/pair factor perspective influenced TECS, elevation (DEM) DEM∩Slope were found dominant under SSP1-RCP2.6 SSP2-RCP4.5 The least distance residential area (LDP) LDP∩LDR (i.e. LDP roads or railways) SSP3-RCP7.0, SSP4-RCP3.4, SSP4-RCP6.0, SSP5-RCP3.4 SSP5-RCP8.5 pair provided a higher determinant power than single factor. Given results scenarios, we suggest reasonably planning transportation network limiting disorderly expansion construction land.

Language: Английский

Citations

19
Energy and socioeconomic system transformation through a decade of IPCC-assessed scenarios DOI
Dirk-Jan Van de Ven, Shivika Mittal, Αλέξανδρος Νίκας

et al.

Nature Climate Change, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(2), P. 218 - 226

Published: Jan. 3, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

2
Smart Learning and Climate Change Awareness: A Simulation‐Based Case Study in Morocco DOI Open Access
Mohamed Amine Marhraoui, Olugbenga Ayo Ojubanire

European Journal of Education, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 60(1)

Published: Jan. 7, 2025

ABSTRACT Prior research has highlighted the importance of smart learning in raising awareness and engagement about sustainable development. Nevertheless, few papers have focused on impact climate change simulation environments. In this paper, a systematic literature review helped to shed light gaps propose conceptual framework. Then, we adopted mixed method based semi‐structured interviews questionnaire carried out for second year business students through different academic years. This case study aims both compare simulation‐based experience two classes test our proposed framework's hypotheses partial least‐squares method. The results allowed us explore using EN‐ROADS simulator assess relationship between awareness, level policy priorities. To best knowledge, is one first studies exploring potential tools. can help either practitioners like makers university managers adapting their curriculum, or researchers extend

Language: Английский

Citations

2
Robust increase in population exposure to heat stress with increasing global warming DOI Creative Commons
Nicolas Freychet, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Natalie Lord

et al.

Environmental Research Letters, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 17(6), P. 064049 - 064049

Published: May 20, 2022

Abstract Extreme heat, particularly if combined with humidity, poses a severe risk to human health. To estimate future global of extreme heat humidity on health, we calculate indicators stress that have been commonly used: the Heat Index, Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature and Temperature, from latest Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) projections. We analyse how where different levels hazards will change, deadly, results are sensitive choice index used. evaluate this at country-level use population GDP | PPP growth scenario vulnerability each nation. Consistent previous studies, find South East Asia, Middle-East, highly exposed hazards, exposure increases by 20%–60% mean temperature change 1.5 3 ∘ C. However, also substantial in health for some vulnerable countries less adaptive capacity, such as West Africa, Central America. For these regions, about 20 more than 50% could be year average, independent warming , European USA several times per conditions daily level equal maximum 2003 wave.

Language: Английский

Citations

52