medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: May 4, 2023
Abstract
Brazil
has
the
second
highest
COVID-19
death
rate
while
Rio
de
Janeiro
is
among
states
with
in
country.
Although
effective
vaccines
have
been
developed,
it
anticipated
that
ongoing
pandemic
will
transition
into
an
endemic
state.
Under
this
scenario,
worrisome
underlying
molecular
mechanisms
associated
disease
clinical
evolution
from
mild
to
severe,
as
well
leading
long
COVID
are
not
yet
fully
understood.
In
study,
1
H
Nuclear
Magnetic
Resonance
spectroscopy
and
Liquid
Chromatography-Mass
spectrometry-based
metabolomics
were
used
identify
potential
pathways
metabolites
involved
pathophysiology
outcome.
We
prospectively
enrolled
35
severe
RT-PCR
confirmed
cases
within
72
hours
intensive
care
unit
admission,
between
April
July
2020
two
reference
centers
Janeiro,
12
samples
non-infected
control
subjects.
Of
patients,
18
survivors
17
non-survivors.
observed
patients
had
their
plasma
metabolome
significantly
changed
if
compared
lower
levels
of
glycerophosphocholine
other
choline-related
metabolites,
serine,
glycine,
betaine,
indicating
a
dysregulation
methyl
donors
one-carbon
metabolism.
Importantly,
non-survivors
higher
creatine/creatinine,
4-hydroxyproline,
gluconic
acid
N
-acetylserine
controls,
reflecting
uncontrolled
inflammation,
liver
kidney
dysfunction,
insulin
resistance
these
patients.
Lipoprotein
dynamics
amino
metabolism
also
altered
Several
changes
greater
women,
thus
patient’s
sex
should
be
considered
surveillance
achieve
better
stratification
improve
outcomes.
The
incidence
outcome
after
hospital
discharge
very
high
Brazil,
metabolic
alterations
may
monitor
patients’
organs
tissues
understand
long-post
COVID-19.
Food and Environmental Virology,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
16(1), P. 38 - 49
Published: Jan. 2, 2024
Abstract
During
the
COVID-19
pandemic,
wastewater-based
epidemiology
(WBE)
and
clinical
surveillance
have
been
used
as
tools
for
analyzing
circulation
of
SARS-CoV-2
in
community,
but
both
approaches
can
be
strongly
influenced
by
some
sources
variability.
From
challenging
perspective
integrating
environmental
data,
we
performed
a
correlation
analysis
between
concentrations
raw
sewage
incident
cases
areas
served
medium-size
wastewater
treatment
plants
(WWTPs)
from
2021
to
2023.
To
this
aim,
datasets
were
adjusted
several
variability:
WBE
data
factors
including
analytical
protocol,
flow,
population
size,
while
adjustments
considered
demographic
composition
population.
Then,
addressed
impact
on
differences
among
sewerage
networks
variations
frequency
type
swab
tests
due
changes
political
regulatory
scenarios.
Wastewater
significantly
correlated
when
restrictive
containment
measures
limited
movements
effect
(
ρ
=
0.50)
confirmed
exclusively
through
molecular
testing
0.49).
Moreover,
positive
(although
weak)
arose
WWTPs
located
densely
populated
0.37)
with
shorter
lengths
0.28).
This
study
provides
methodological
interpreting
which
could
also
useful
other
infections.
Data
evaluation
possible
bias
need
carefully
integrated
PNAS Nexus,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
3(2)
Published: Jan. 31, 2024
During
its
first
2
years,
the
SARS-CoV-2
pandemic
manifested
as
multiple
waves
shaped
by
complex
interactions
between
variants
of
concern,
non-pharmaceutical
interventions,
and
immunological
landscape
population.
Understanding
how
age-specific
epidemiology
has
evolved
throughout
is
crucial
for
informing
policy
decisions.
In
this
article,
we
aimed
to
develop
an
inference-based
modeling
approach
reconstruct
burden
true
infections
hospital
admissions
in
children,
adolescents,
adults
over
seven
four
(wild-type,
Alpha,
Delta,
Omicron
BA.1)
during
years
pandemic,
using
Netherlands
motivating
example.
We
find
that
reported
cases
are
a
considerable
underestimate
generally
poor
predictor
infection
burden,
especially
because
case
reporting
differs
age.
The
contribution
children
adolescents
total
hospitalization
increased
with
successive
was
largest
BA.1
period.
However,
ratio
hospitalizations
decreased
each
subsequent
variant
all
age
categories.
Before
Delta
period,
almost
were
primary
occurring
naive
individuals.
periods,
common
but
relatively
rare
who
experienced
either
reinfections
or
breakthrough
infections.
Our
can
be
used
understand
through
other
countries
where
random
community
surveys
uncovering
dynamics
absent
basic
surveillance
statistics
data
available.
PLoS Medicine,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
20(6), P. e1004240 - e1004240
Published: June 5, 2023
Circulation
of
multidrug-resistant
bacteria
(MRB)
in
healthcare
facilities
is
a
major
public
health
problem.
These
settings
have
been
greatly
impacted
by
the
Coronavirus
Disease
2019
(COVID-19)
pandemic,
notably
due
to
surges
COVID-19
caseloads
and
implementation
infection
control
measures.
We
sought
evaluate
how
such
collateral
impacts
nosocomial
spread
MRB
an
early
pandemic
context.We
developed
mathematical
model
which
Severe
Acute
Respiratory
Syndrome
2
(SARS-CoV-2)
cocirculate
among
patients
staff
theoretical
hospital
population.
Responses
were
captured
mechanistically
via
range
parameters
that
reflect
SARS-CoV-2
outbreaks
on
factors
relevant
for
pathogen
transmission.
responses
include
both
"policy
responses"
willingly
enacted
limit
transmission
(e.g.,
universal
masking,
patient
lockdown,
reinforced
hand
hygiene)
"caseload
unwillingly
resulting
from
abandonment
antibiotic
stewardship,
disorganization
programmes,
extended
length
stay
patients).
conducted
main
sets
simulations,
we
quantified
colonization
incidence
resistance
rates
(the
share
antibiotic-resistant
versus
antibiotic-sensitive
strains).
The
first
set
simulations
represents
diverse
environments,
accounting
high
levels
heterogeneity
across
bacterial
transmission,
sensitivity,
prevalence
newly
admitted
patients)
interindividual
contact,
exposure,
admission/discharge).
On
average,
policies
coincided
with
prevention,
including
28.2%
[95%
uncertainty
interval:
2.5%,
60.2%]
fewer
incident
cases
colonization.
Conversely,
favoured
13.8%
[-3.5%,
77.0%]
increase
10.4%
[0.2%,
46.9%]
absence
concomitant
policies.
When
policy
caseload
combined,
decreased
24.2%
[-7.8%,
59.3%],
while
increased
2.9%
[-5.4%,
23.2%].
Impacts
varied
their
respective
routes
acquisition.
second
was
tailored
specific
wards
(methicillin-resistant
Staphylococcus
aureus,
extended-spectrum
beta-lactamase
producing
Escherichia
coli).
Consequences
found
be
highly
context
specific,
depending
ward
evaluated.
In
particular,
significantly
only
underlying
risk
Yet
species,
burden
reduced
timelier
effective
policies.Our
suggests
generate
selection
bacteria.
Timely
efficient
measures
thus
has
2-fold
benefits,
preventing
MRB,
highlighting
as
benefit
preparedness.
Current Rheumatology Reports,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
25(10), P. 192 - 203
Published: July 21, 2023
To
describe
the
current
state
of
knowledge
regarding
COVID-19
in
patients
with
systemic
lupus
erythematosus
(SLE).
We
focus
on
(i)
SARS-CoV-2
vaccination
uptake,
immunogenicity
and
safety,
(ii)
outcomes
SLE
pertinent
risk
factors
for
adverse
sequelae.
Notwithstanding
potential
concern
about
possible
post-vaccination
side-effects,
safety
anti-SARS-CoV-2
vaccines
has
been
undisputedly
confirmed
numerous
studies.
Humoral
is
generally
attained
SLE,
although
affected
by
use
background
immunosuppressive
drugs,
especially
rituximab.
The
latter
also
clearly
implicated
including
need
hospitalization,
mechanical
ventilation
death.
Although
wide
adoption
significantly
improved
outcomes,
continue
to
pose
challenges
during
pandemic,
mainly
owing
administered
medications.
Viruses,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
15(2), P. 470 - 470
Published: Feb. 8, 2023
Reverse
transcription
polymerase
chain
reaction
(RT-PCR)
on
respiratory
tract
swabs
has
become
the
gold
standard
for
sensitive
and
specific
detection
of
influenza
virus,
syncytial
virus
(RSV)
severe
acute
syndrome
coronavirus
2
(SARS-CoV-2).
In
this
retrospective
analysis,
we
report
successive
implementation
routine
use
multiplex
RT-PCR
testing
patients
admitted
to
Internal
Medicine
Emergency
Department
(ED)
at
a
tertiary
care
center
in
Western
Austria,
one
hotspots
early
disease
2019
(COVID-19)
pandemic
Europe.
Our
description
focuses
Cepheid®
Xpert®
Xpress
closed
system
point-of-care
(POCT).
indications
changed
during
observation
period:
From
cold
season
2016/2017
until
2019/2020,
used
diagnose
or
RSV
infection
with
fever
and/or
symptoms.
Starting
March
2020,
SARS-CoV-2
version
combined
all
these
three
viruses
also
screen
subjects
who
did
not
present
symptoms
but
needed
in-hospital
medical
treatment
other
reasons.
Expectedly,
switch
more
liberal
test
strategy
resulted
substantial
increase
number
tests.
Nevertheless,
observed
an
immediate
decline
detections
2020
that
coincided
public
containment
measures.
contrast,
extensive
enabled
us
monitor
re-emergence
detections,
including
asymptomatic
cases,
end
2022
when
COVID-19
measures
were
no
longer
place.
analysis
PCR
results
from
real-life
setting
ED
provides
valuable
information
epidemiology
those
infections
over
several
years,
their
contribution
morbidity
need
hospital
admission,
risk
nosocomial
introduction
such
into
hospitals
carriers,
guidance
as
how
general
precautions
prophylactic
strategies
affect
dynamics
infections.
Diseases,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
11(4), P. 135 - 135
Published: Oct. 3, 2023
The
objective
of
this
article
is
to
develop
a
robust
method
for
forecasting
the
transition
from
endemic
epidemic
phases
in
contagious
diseases
using
COVID-19
as
case
study.Seven
indicators
are
proposed
detecting
endemic/epidemic
transition:
variation
coefficient,
entropy,
dominant/subdominant
spectral
ratio,
skewness,
kurtosis,
dispersion
index
and
normality
index.
Then,
principal
component
analysis
(PCA)
offers
score
built
seven
first
PCA
component,
its
performance
estimated
ability
predict
entrance
exponential
growth
phase.This
applied
retro-prediction
transitions
outbreak
various
countries
which
has
good
predicting
power.This
research
valuable
tool
early
detection,
aiding
effective
public
health
responses.
Physical Review Research,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
7(1)
Published: March 24, 2025
Classically,
endemic
infectious
diseases
are
expected
to
display
relatively
stable,
predictable
infection
dynamics.
Accordingly,
basic
disease
models
such
as
the
susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible
model
stable
states
or
recurrent
seasonal
waves.
However,
if
human
population
reacts
high
numbers
by
mitigating
spread
of
disease,
then
this
delayed
behavioral
feedback
loop
can
generate
waves
itself,
driven
periodic
mitigation
and
subsequent
relaxation.
We
show
that
reactions,
together
with
a
effect
comparable
impact,
cause
complex
unpredictable
dynamics,
including
Arnold
tongues,
coexisting
attractors,
chaos.
Importantly,
these
arise
in
epidemiologically
relevant
parameter
regions
where
costs
associated
infections
jointly
minimized.
By
comparing
our
data,
we
find
signs
COVID-19
was
mitigated
way
favored
Our
results
challenge
intuition
dynamics
necessarily
implies
predictability
emergence
when
humans
optimize
their
reaction
increasing
numbers.
Published
American
Physical
Society
2025