Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 119(34)

Published: Aug. 1, 2022

Microbial communities are found throughout the biosphere, from human guts to glaciers, soil activated sludge. Understanding statistical properties of such diverse can pave way elucidate common mechanisms ...Multiple ecological forces act together shape composition microbial communities. Phyloecology approaches—which combine phylogenetic relationships between species with community ecology—have potential disentangle but often ...

Language: Английский

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Perspectives on tipping points in integrated models of the natural and human Earth system: cascading effects and telecoupling

Environmental Research Letters, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 17(1), P. 015004 - 015004

Published: Dec. 14, 2021

Abstract The Earth system and the human are intrinsically linked. Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions have led to climate crisis, which is causing unprecedented extreme events could trigger tipping elements. Physical social forces can lead points cascading effects via feedbacks telecoupling, but current generation of climate-economy models do not generally take account these interactions feedbacks. Here, we show importance interplay between societies systems in creating way they turn affect sustainability security. lack modeling links an underestimation societal risks as well how be harnessed moderate physical impacts. This calls for systematic development a better integration understanding at different spatial temporal scales, specifically those that enable decision-making reduce likelihood crossing local or global points.

Language: Английский

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Understanding human vulnerability to climate change: A global perspective on index validation for adaptation planning

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 803, P. 150065 - 150065

Published: Sept. 1, 2021

Climate change is a severe global threat. Research on climate and vulnerability to natural hazards has made significant progress over the last decades. Most of research been devoted improving quality information hazard data, including exposure specific phenomena, such as flooding or sea-level rise. Less attention given assessment embedded social, economic historical conditions that foster societies. A number assessments based indicators have developed past years. Yet an essential question remains how validate those at scale. This paper examines different options in terms their internal external validity, focusing two indicator systems used WorldRiskIndex INFORM index. The reviews these index best practices same time presents new analysis results show linkages between level disaster outcomes. Both review support each other help communicate validity uncertainty assessments. Next statistical validation methods, we discuss importance appropriate link indicators, data indicandum. We found mortality per event from floods, drought storms 15 times higher for countries ranked highly vulnerable compared classified low vulnerable. These findings highlight starting points move towards resilient development. Priority should be not just regions are likely face more future but also confronted with high already.

Language: Английский

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Understanding responses to climate-related water scarcity in Africa

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 806, P. 150420 - 150420

Published: Sept. 20, 2021

Language: Английский

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The missing risks of climate change

Nature, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 610(7933), P. 643 - 651

Published: Oct. 26, 2022

Language: Английский

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Estimating the global risk of anthropogenic climate change

Nature Climate Change, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 11(10), P. 879 - 885

Published: Sept. 30, 2021

Language: Английский

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African heritage sites threatened as sea-level rise accelerates

Nature Climate Change, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 12(3), P. 256 - 262

Published: Feb. 10, 2022

Abstract The African coast contains heritage sites of ‘Outstanding Universal Value’ that face increasing risk from anthropogenic climate change. Here, we generated a database 213 natural and 71 cultural to assess exposure coastal flooding erosion under moderate (RCP 4.5) high 8.5) greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Currently, 56 (20%) are at 1-in-100-year extreme event, including the iconic ruins Tipasa (Algeria) North Sinai Archaeological Sites Zone (Egypt). By 2050, number exposed is projected more than triple, reaching almost 200 emissions. Emissions mitigation RCP 8.5 4.5 reduces very highly by 25%. These findings highlight urgent need for increased change adaptation in Africa, governance management approaches, site-specific vulnerability assessments, monitoring, protection strategies.

Language: Английский

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Assessing human habitability and migration

Science, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 372(6548), P. 1279 - 1283

Published: June 17, 2021

Integrate global top-down and local bottom-up analyses

Language: Английский

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A review of research into tourism and climate change - Launching the annals of tourism research curated collection on tourism and climate change

Annals of Tourism Research, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 95, P. 103409 - 103409

Published: May 6, 2022

Language: Английский

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Climate change: Strategies for mitigation and adaptation

The Innovation Geoscience, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 1(1), P. 100015 - 100015

Published: Jan. 1, 2023

<p>The sustainability of life on Earth is under increasing threat due to human-induced climate change. This perilous change in the Earth's caused by increases carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases atmosphere, primarily emissions associated with burning fossil fuels. Over next two three decades, effects change, such as heatwaves, wildfires, droughts, storms, floods, are expected worsen, posing greater risks human health global stability. These trends call for implementation mitigation adaptation strategies. Pollution environmental degradation exacerbate existing problems make people nature more susceptible In this review, we examine current state from different perspectives. We summarize evidence Earth’s spheres, discuss emission pathways drivers analyze impact health. also explore strategies highlight key challenges reversing adapting change.</p>

Language: Английский

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