Multiscenario Simulation of Land-Use Change in Hubei Province, China Based on the Markov-FLUS Model DOI Creative Commons
Kai Zhu,

Yufeng Cheng,

Weiye Zang

et al.

Land, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 12(4), P. 744 - 744

Published: March 25, 2023

A goal of land change modelers should be to communicate scenarios future that show the variety possible landscapes based on consequences management decisions. This study employs Markov-FLUS model simulate land-use changes in Hubei Province multiple consider social, economic, and ecological policies using 18 driving factors, including point-of-interest data. First, was developed validated with historical data from 2000 2020. The then used 2020 2035 four scenarios: natural development, economic priority, protection, cultivated protection. results effectively simulates pattern Province, an overall accuracy 0.93 for use simulation Kappa coefficient FOM index also achieved 0.86 0.139, respectively. In all scenarios, remained primary type 2035, while construction showed increasing trend. However, there were large differences simulated patterns different scenarios. Construction expanded most rapidly priority scenario, it more slowly protection scenario. We designed scenario restrict rapid expansion land. development encroached forests. contrast, forests water areas well-preserved, decrease increase suppressed, resulting a improvement sustainability. Finally, spread curbed. conclusion, applied this has substantial implications effective utilization resources environment Province.

Language: Английский

Agricultural land systems importance for supporting food security and sustainable development goals: A systematic review DOI Creative Commons
Cláudia M. Viana, Dulce Freire, Patrícia Abrantes

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 806, P. 150718 - 150718

Published: Oct. 2, 2021

Agriculture provides the largest share of food supplies and ensures a critical number ecosystem services (e.g., provisioning). Therefore, agriculture is vital for security supports Sustainable Development Goal (SDGs) 2 (SDG - zero hunger) as others SDG's. Several studies have been published in different world areas with research directions focused on increasing nutritional from an agricultural land system perspective. The heterogeneity calls interdisciplinary comprehensive systematization plethora approaches, scales analysis, reference data used. Thus, this work aims to systematically review contributions by systematizing main fields present synthesis diversity scope knowledge. From initial search 1151 articles, 260 meet criteria be used review. Our analysis revealed that most articles were between 2015 2019 (59%), case carried out Asia (36%) Africa (20%). other continents was lower. In last 30 years, centred six fields: land-use changes (28%), efficiency (27%), climate change (16%), farmer's motivation (12%), urban peri-urban (11%), suitability (7%). Overall, identified are directly or indirectly linked 11 17 SDGs. There essential differences among fields, future efforts needed ones less represented support

Language: Английский

Citations

324

Dynamic simulation of land use change and assessment of carbon storage based on climate change scenarios at the city level: A case study of Bortala, China DOI Creative Commons
Ziyao Wang, Xin Li,

Yueting Mao

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 134, P. 108499 - 108499

Published: Dec. 23, 2021

Exploring future changes in land use and carbon storage (CS) under different climate scenarios is important for optimizing regional ecosystem service functions formulating sustainable socioeconomic development policies. We proposed a framework that integrates the system dynamics (SD) model, patch-generating simulation (PLUS) Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Service Tradeoffs (InVEST) model to dynamically simulate use/cover change (LUCC) CS at city level based on SSP-RCP provided by CMIP6. The simulations were applied Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture Xinjiang. Changes LUCC similar SSP126 SSP245 scenarios, but woodland expansion was more rapid scenario. SSP585 scenario from those other two this mainly caused continuous reduction area construction cultivated land. By 2050, results revealed highest (193.20 Tg), followed (192.75 Tg) (185.17 Tg). Overall, study suggest increases could be achieved controlling economic growth population growth, promoting an energy transition, expanding area.

Language: Английский

Citations

264

Impacts of land use/land cover changes on ecosystem services in ecologically fragile regions DOI
Zhou Fang, Tonghui Ding, Junyu Chen

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 831, P. 154967 - 154967

Published: March 31, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

236

Multi-scenario simulation of ecosystem service value for optimization of land use in the Sichuan-Yunnan ecological barrier, China DOI Creative Commons
Chen Li, Yingmei Wu, Binpin Gao

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 132, P. 108328 - 108328

Published: Oct. 27, 2021

Key ecological function areas are responsible for protecting and restoring ecosystems alleviating regional deterioration. Revealing the inherent relationship between land use/cover (LULC) change ecosystem service value (ESV) in such is of great significance sustainable development. We used LULC other data from 2000, 2010, 2018 to analyze spatiotemporal evolution ESV China's Sichuan-Yunnan Ecological Barrier based on six types: Farmland, Forest, Grassland, Water, Built-up land, Other. With goal maximizing both economic benefits, we coupled gray multi-objective optimization (GMOP) patch-generating land-use simulation (PLUS) models assess three scenarios (business-as-usual, BAU; development priority, EDP; balance, EEB) terms spatial distribution structure 2026. The study area was dominated by Forest with major changes 2000 mainly deriving transfers Grassland along Farmland conversion land. trended upward during period, due contributions Water. Under EDP scenario 2026, expansion eased, which smallest among 3 at 643.03 km2, increased 673.80 overall improved, total 2.502 billion yuan. EEB scenario, decreased 405.95 but benefits remarkably, showing effect supporting larger-scale growth less resource consumption. were most dramatic local scales. use GMOP-PLUS allowed improved assessment social, economic, environmental factors provided a new way address key technical problem planning large-scale areas.

Language: Английский

Citations

225

Ecosystem services and well-being dimensions related to urban green spaces – A systematic review DOI
Luís Valença Pinto, Miguel Inácio, Carla Ferreira

et al.

Sustainable Cities and Society, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 85, P. 104072 - 104072

Published: July 17, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

92

Evaluating the impacts of land use change on ecosystem service values under multiple scenarios in the Hunshandake region of China DOI
Yu Xiao,

Mengdong Huang,

Gaodi Xie

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 850, P. 158067 - 158067

Published: Aug. 16, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

74

Ecosystem Services Provided by Seaweeds DOI Creative Commons
João Cotas,

Louisa Gomes,

Diana Pacheco

et al.

Hydrobiology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 2(1), P. 75 - 96

Published: Jan. 9, 2023

The ecosystem services can be divided using two major classification systems, the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA) and Common International Classification of Services (CICES). In MEA system, are into four service clusters: supporting, provisioning, regulating, cultural. On other hand, CICES system regards “MEA supporting services” as organism natural function (and not an service). Thus, this is basis for all three (provisioning, cultural) provided by one organism. These analyzed type habitat, fauna or flora. Seaweeds, marine macroalgae, key organisms in estuarine seawater habitats ecosystems, which currently extreme importance due to climate changes blue–green economy. Seaweeds humankind have been interlinked from beginning, mainly a food source, fibers, biochemicals, medicine, ornamental resources, art inspiration, esthetic values several coastal communities. Moreover, they being studied green carbon, carbon sequestration, possible source biomedical pharmaceutical areas. This review concise ecological seaweeds their impact human life maintenance status quo. future use also approached, regarding promotion seaweed its dangers future.

Language: Английский

Citations

67

Scenario simulation of land use change and carbon storage response in Henan Province, China: 1990–2050 DOI Creative Commons

Liyao Fan,

Tianyi Cai, Qian Wen

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 154, P. 110660 - 110660

Published: July 15, 2023

The carbon storage service of terrestrial ecosystems has an veritable impact on the global cycle and, in turn, climate change. Hence, both assessing and predicting land use changes are necessary to reduce emissions mitigate Therefore, using integrated valuation ecosystem services tradeoffs (InVEST) model with remote sensing data, this study systematically analyzes use/cover change (LUCC) response characteristics types Henan Province, China 1990–2020 period. also uses patch-generating simulation (PLUS) predict LUCC Province from 2023 2050 under different scenarios, including Business as Usual (BAU), Ecological Conservation (EC), Urban Development (UD) scenarios. following results noted: (1) mainly comprises conversion farmland construction land. Presently, Province's is found have decreased by 339.72 Tg due LUCC, which characterized "high west low east." (2) Regarding three aforementioned province's predicted increase its greatest extent UD scenario. Under EC scenario, woodland areas will be effectively protected. highest level reserves likely followed that BAU while lowest should seen 312.07 Tg, 233.43 394.49 lower than 2020 BAU, EC, respectively. In sum, provides scientific basis decisions aimed at facilitation low-carbon development, optimal utilization spaces, development ecological civilization Province.

Language: Английский

Citations

52

Past and future impacts of land-use changes on ecosystem services in Austria DOI Creative Commons
Uta Schirpke, Erich Tasser, Stefan Borsky

et al.

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 345, P. 118728 - 118728

Published: Aug. 1, 2023

Environmental and socio-economic developments induce land-use changes with potentially negative impacts on human well-being. To counteract undesired developments, a profound understanding of the complex relationships between drivers, land use, ecosystem services is needed. Yet, national studies examining extended time periods are still rare. Based Special Report management climate change by Austrian Panel Climate Change (APCC), we use Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework to (1) identify main drivers change, (2) describe past future in Austria 1950 2100, (3) report related services, (4) discuss responses. Our findings indicate that (e.g., economic growth, political systems, technological developments) have influenced most. The intensification agricultural urban sprawl primarily led declining lowlands. In mountain regions, abandonment grassland has prompted shift from provisioning regulating services. However, simulations accelerating will surpass significance towards end this century, particularly intensively used areas. Although change-induced remain uncertain, it can be expected range options restricted future. Consequently, policymaking should prioritize development integrated planning safeguard accounting for environmental uncertainties.

Language: Английский

Citations

52

Exploring future ecosystem service changes and key contributing factors from a “past-future-action” perspective: A case study of the Yellow River Basin DOI
Kaili Zhang, Bin Fang, Zhicheng Zhang

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 926, P. 171630 - 171630

Published: March 19, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

28