Environmental Development, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 45, С. 100808 - 100808
Опубликована: Янв. 28, 2023
Язык: Английский
Nature Climate Change, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 11(11), С. 989 - 1000
Опубликована: Окт. 28, 2021
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
396
Environmental Research Letters, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 17(1), С. 015004 - 015004
Опубликована: Дек. 14, 2021
Abstract The Earth system and the human are intrinsically linked. Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions have led to climate crisis, which is causing unprecedented extreme events could trigger tipping elements. Physical social forces can lead points cascading effects via feedbacks telecoupling, but current generation of climate-economy models do not generally take account these interactions feedbacks. Here, we show importance interplay between societies systems in creating way they turn affect sustainability security. lack modeling links an underestimation societal risks as well how be harnessed moderate physical impacts. This calls for systematic development a better integration understanding at different spatial temporal scales, specifically those that enable decision-making reduce likelihood crossing local or global points.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
240
Science, Год журнала: 2021, Номер 372(6548), С. 1279 - 1283
Опубликована: Июнь 17, 2021
Integrate global top-down and local bottom-up analyses
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
120
Cambridge University Press eBooks, Год журнала: 2023, Номер unknown, С. 2163 - 2194
Опубликована: Июнь 22, 2023
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Язык: Английский
Процитировано
46
Frontiers in Climate, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 4
Опубликована: Май 10, 2022
The purpose of this article is to explore how migration theory invoked in empirical studies climate-related migration, and provide suggestions for engagement with the emerging field climate mobility. Theory critical understanding processes we observe social-ecological systems because it points a specific locus attention research, shapes research questions, guides quantitative model development, influences what researchers find, ultimately informs policies programs. Research into mobility has grown out early on environmental often developed isolation from broader theoretical developments community. As such, there risk that work may be inadequately informed by rich corpus contributed our who migrates; why they migrate; types employ; sustains streams; choose certain destinations over others. On other hand, are ways which environment enriching conceptual frameworks being employed understand particularly forced migration. This paper draws review 75 modeling efforts conducted diversity disciplines, covering various regions, using variety data sources methods assess used their research. goal suggest forward large growing domain.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
61
Climate Risk Management, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 39, С. 100471 - 100471
Опубликована: Дек. 21, 2022
Anthropogenic climate change is commonly characterized as a threat to human security. However, the extent which and under what conditions impacts responses may produce severe risks peace have seen less systematically assessment date. This essay provides conceptual discussion of entail how such might be considered severe, acknowledging that perceptions, values, social scale must grappled with in identification severity. Informed by available empirical research, then explores climate-related could become during this century. Three illustrative scenarios based on different assumptions about climate-driven related serve illustrate alternative warming adaptation trajectories will distinct implications for prospect future peace. The ends reflecting some research needs.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
46
Climate and Development, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 16(2), С. 87 - 96
Опубликована: Март 1, 2023
Migration can strengthen adaptation to climate change. The potential of migration-as-adaptation builds on a world intensifying global mobility and connectedness the increasing possibility geographically spreading risks. But what if is impeded connectivity disrupted? And happens distant places face risks simultaneously due systemic character or multiplicity crises? This paper points fundamental gaps in research migration-as-adaptation, which largely neglects questions limits. It argues that an understanding limits needs address (1) migration as inherent feature social systems under stress, (2) unequal contested nature goals, (3) immobility, disconnectedness simultaneous exposure core mechanisms limit adaptive migration. proposes novel translocal-mobilities perspective multi-scalar, multi-local, relational intersectional dynamics migration-as-adaptation. formulates for adaptation. A comprehensive will help scientific community build more realistic scenarios change provide entry policies avoid reaching mitigate negative consequences.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
31
Nature Communications, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 14(1)
Опубликована: Май 6, 2023
Climate change-induced sea-level rise will lead to an increase in internal migration, whose intensity and spatial patterns depend on the amount of rise; future socioeconomic development; adaptation strategies pursued reduce exposure vulnerability rise. To explore feedbacks between these drivers, we combine projections, assumptions policies a spatially-explicit model ('CONCLUDE'). Using Mediterranean region as case study, find up 20 million rise-related migrants by 2100 if no are implemented, with approximately three times higher migration southern eastern countries compared northern countries. We show that can number factor 1.4 9, depending type pursued; implementation hard protection measures may even towards protected coastlines. Overall, robust across all scenarios, out-migration from narrow coastal strip in-migration widely spread urban settings. However, (e.g. proactive/reactive, managed/autonomous) depends developments drive adaptive capacity, calling for decision-making goes well beyond issues.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
25
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 121(3)
Опубликована: Янв. 8, 2024
There is growing recognition of the potential migration to contribute climate-change adaptation. Yet, there limited evidence what degree, under conditions, for whom, and with which limitations this effectively case. We argue that results from a lack systematic incorporation sociospatiality—the nested, networked, intersectional nature migration-as-adaptation. Our central objective utilize translocal social-resilience approach overcome these gaps, identify processes structures shape social resilience livelihood systems, illustrate mechanisms behind multiplicity possible outcomes. Translocal constellations anchored in rural Thailand as well domestic international destinations Thai migrants serve illustrative empirical cases. Data were gathered through multisited mixed-methods research design. This paper highlights role distinct but interlinked situations operational logics at places origin destination, different positionalities resulting vulnerabilities, roles, commitments, practices individuals households regard resilience. Based on results, distills generalized typology five broad categories outcomes, explicitly considers sociospatiality. helps grasp complexity migration-as-adaptation avoid simplistic conclusions about benefits costs adaptation—both are necessary sound, evidence-based, policymaking.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
14
One Earth, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 7(4), С. 589 - 607
Опубликована: Март 8, 2024
The escalating impacts of climate change on the movement and immobility people, coupled with false but influential narratives mobility, highlight an urgent need for nuanced synthetic research around mobility. Synthesis evidence gaps across Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report a to clarify understanding what conditions make human mobility effective adaptation option its outcomes, including simultaneous losses, damages, benefits. Priorities include integration development planning; involuntary vulnerability; gender; data cities; risk from responses maladaptation; public risk; transboundary, compound, cascading risks; nature-based approaches; planned retreat, relocation, heritage. Cutting these priorities, modalities better position as type process, praxis. Policies practices reflect diverse needs, experiences emphasizing capability, choice, freedom movement.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
9