Land Use Simulation and Ecological Network Construction around Poyang Lake Area in China under the Goal of Sustainable Development DOI Open Access
Zhijun Luo, Xiaofang Yang, Songkai Luo

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(18), P. 8146 - 8146

Published: Sept. 18, 2024

The pivotal aspects of enhancing regional ecosystem services and augmenting socioeconomic growth lie in optimizing the land-space development protection strategies, coupled with establishment a robust ecological network (EN). This article examines Poyang Lake area employs MOP model, NSGA-II, PLUS model to determine best sustainable land use strategy. Subsequently, MSPA, InVEST circuit theory, complex network, others are employed construct analyze EN across three time periods. Ultimately, is optimized based on spatial priority, obstacle areas, nodes. results show following: (1) From 2005 2035, more construction will be developed around Greater Nanchang other urban centers. In BAU scenario, expand faster, while cultivated land, forest, grassland, bare continue decline. SD alteration comparable minimal, rate slow, all decline little, water increase slightly; (2) While sources decreased corridors become longer narrower distribution ENs different periods small, quantitative structure essentially unchanged scenario; (3) Based topological ENs, it found that clustering nodes scenario obvious, importance enhanced, efficiency information transmission improved, radiation range wider stable; (4) greatest priority each period concentrated Lake. improves, 7025 km2 restoration identified, 41, 31, 36 breakpoints first, second, third levels. study’s findings can assist shape theoretical practical approaches governance great lake areas.

Language: Английский

Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Prediction of Carbon Storage: An Integrated Framework Based on the MOP–PLUS–InVEST Model and an Applied Case Study in Hangzhou, East China DOI Creative Commons
Yonghua Li, Song Yao, Hezhou Jiang

et al.

Land, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 11(12), P. 2213 - 2213

Published: Dec. 5, 2022

Land-use/land-cover change (LUCC) is an important factor affecting carbon storage. It of great practical significance to quantify the relationship between LUCC and storage for regional ecological protection sustainable socio-economic development. In this study, we proposed integrated framework based on multiobjective programming (MOP), patch-level land-use simulation (PLUS) model, valuation ecosystem service trade-offs (InVEST) model. First, used InVEST model explore spatial temporal evolution characteristics in Hangzhou from 2000 2020 using land-cover data. Second, constructed four scenarios natural development (ND), economic (ED), (EP), balanced (BD) Markov chain MOP, then simulated distribution land cover 2030 with PLUS Third, was predict 2030. Finally, conducted a correlation Hangzhou’s delineated zoning Hangzhou. The results showed that: (1) artificial surfaces grew significantly, while cultivated decreased significantly 2020. overall trend decrease storage, changing areas were characterized by local aggregation sporadic distribution. (2) surfaces, water bodies, shrubland will continue increase up 2030, grassland decrease. BD scenario can effectively achieve multiple objectives (3) decline EP have highest which mitigate loss. (4) inextricably linked cover, high–high concentration low–low concentration. study provide decision support other cities Yangtze River Delta region.

Language: Английский

Citations

46
Simulating the impact of urban expansion on ecosystem services in Chinese urban agglomerations: A multi-scenario perspective DOI
Wanxu Chen,

Guanzheng Wang,

Tianci Gu

et al.

Environmental Impact Assessment Review, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 103, P. 107275 - 107275

Published: Sept. 21, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

37
Food-water-land-ecosystem nexus in typical Chinese dryland under different future scenarios DOI
Mingjie Shi, Hongqi Wu, Jiang Ping-an

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 880, P. 163183 - 163183

Published: April 6, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

28
A new assessment framework to forecast land use and carbon storage under different SSP-RCP scenarios in China DOI
Wei Guo, Yongjia Teng, Jing Li

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 912, P. 169088 - 169088

Published: Dec. 5, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

28
Sustainable management of land use patterns and water allocation for coordinated multidimensional development DOI

Xiaoxu Cao,

Haijun Wang, Bin Zhang

et al.

Journal of Cleaner Production, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 457, P. 142412 - 142412

Published: May 2, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

10
Multi-Scenario Land Use Change Dynamic Simulation and Carbon Stock Assessment of Man–Nature in Border Mountainous Areas DOI Open Access

Zhenfeng Wei,

Likang Ling,

Qunying Wang

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(4), P. 1695 - 1695

Published: Feb. 18, 2025

As an important gateway for China’s foreign exchanges, the border areas of Guangxi face irrational land use issues that impact local ecology, economy, national security, and international relations. With global attention on climate change, “carbon peaking”, neutrality”, ecosystem carbon storage, this study focuses area, using natural resource, socio-economic, transportation factors. Through PLUS In VEST models, it predicts storage under multiple scenarios. (1) The results show from 2000 to 2020, forest land, water bodies, other types decreased, while construction cropland increased. Land changes accelerated over time, with significant urban expansion into areas, reflecting rapid socio-economic development. (2) For 2030, following projections were made: Under development, expands significantly, declines, urbanization spreads outward. grows fastest, grassland decline sharply, infrastructure reduces types. sustainable reductions in are mitigated, moderately, bodies remain stable, achieving a balance between humans nature. (3) Compared declines across Annual decreases 513,223.13 tons (natural), 5,469,327.95 (urban), 500,214.24 (sustainable). Sustainable development is crucial “dual carbon” goals. This emphasizes ecological priority, strict protection, controlled offering management strategies ensure rational security.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
A Systematic Design Framework for Zero Carbon Campuses: Investigating the Shanghai Jiao Tong University Fahua Campus Case DOI Open Access
Lingyu Wang, Xingyun Yan, Mingzhu Fang

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 15(10), P. 7975 - 7975

Published: May 13, 2023

Since the global zero carbon goal was proposed, most higher education institutions around world are still in process of transitioning towards neutrality. However, there is a research gap systematic design strategy for campus. This study adopts qualitative literature analysis approach to establish theoretical framework campus design. The hierarchically outlines One Top-Down vision neutrality, two complementary paths emission reduction and sink, specific implementation strategies based on coupling social, technological, ecological dimensions, as well establishment carbon-neutral smart services platform. Subsequently, case conducted at Fahua Shanghai Jiao Tong University, guided by this framework. not only completed modeling visualization but also attempted conceive people-centered under commitment emphasized critical role university culture historical connotations carbon-upgrading process. results showed that can inspire innovative localized solutions campus, empower replicability advanced campuses, more effectively promote neutrality development communities cities.

Language: Английский

Citations

19
Synergizing economic growth and carbon emission reduction in China: A path to coupling the MFLP and PLUS models for optimizing the territorial spatial functional pattern DOI Creative Commons
Qin Jing, Dinghua Ou, Ziheng Yang

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 929, P. 171926 - 171926

Published: March 27, 2024

Carbon emissions caused by economic growth are the main cause of global warming, but controlling to reduce carbon does not meet China's conditions. Therefore, how synergize and emission reduction is only a sustainable development issue for China, also significant mitigating warming. The territorial spatial functional pattern (TSFP) carrier coordinating emissions, establish TSFP remains unresolved. We propose decision framework optimizing coupled with multi-objective fuzzy linear programming patch-generating land use simulation model, provide new path in China. To confirm reliability, we took Qionglai City as demonstration. results found spatiotemporal coupling between synergistic effect (q ≥ 0.8220), which resolves theoretical uncertainty about synergizing through TSFP. urban space 2025 2030 obtained was 6497.57 hm2 6628.72 respectively, distributed central eastern regions; rural 60,132.92 56,084.97 hm2, concentrated east, few located west; ecological 71,072.52 74,998.31 mainly western southeastern areas. Compared 2020, intensity that realized synergy (decoupling index 0.25 0.21, respectively) reduced 0.7 4.7 tons/million yuan, respectively. Further confirming an effective way reduction, can policy implications China even similar developing countries.

Language: Английский

Citations

8
Attribution and driving force of nitrogen losses from the Taihu Lake Basin by the InVEST and GeoDetector models DOI Creative Commons

Xinghua He,

Jiaming Tian,

Zhang Yan-qin

et al.

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 13(1)

Published: May 8, 2023

Quantifying temporal and spatial changes in reactive nitrogen (Nr) losses from a watershed exploring its main drivers are the key to water quality improvements. Huge Nr continue threaten safety of environment Taihu Lake Basin (TLB). Here, InVEST GeoDetector models were combined estimate TLB 1990 2020 explore driving forces. Different scenarios for compared, showing that loss peaked at 181.66 × 103 t 2000. The factors affecting land use, followed by elevation, soil, slope factors, their mean q-values 0.82, 0.52, 0.51, 0.48, respectively. scenario analysis revealed increased under business-as-usual economic development scenarios, while ecological conservation, nutrient use efficiency, reduced application all contribute reduction losses. findings provide scientific reference control future planning TLB.

Language: Английский

Citations

15
Ecological health assessment and sustainability prediction in coastal area: A case study in Xiamen Bay, China DOI Creative Commons

Lingying Qian,

Feifei Wang,

Wen Cao

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 148, P. 110047 - 110047

Published: Feb. 26, 2023

Bay areas are special ecological transition zones where land and sea meet, the health of region is an essential foundation for sustainable development. Therefore, it crucial to establish evaluation index system assess sustainability in bay developing coastal zone management plans. This study proposes a cross-jurisdiction framework assessing Xiamen at multi-scales multi-levels. The entropy weight comprehensive methods then used evaluate coupling integrity biodiversity with ecosystem services. Finally, dynamics model was established analyze Bay. results show that overall level continuously maintained <0.6 from 2005 2018, which locating critical early warning status, shift good status starts 2021; (2) under conditions current development, future population density, total number tourists arrived, artificial shoreline length, patch landscape diversity, habitat, estuarine nutrient fluxes achieve greatly constraining regional health; (3) Global Orchestration most desirable future. will 0.7 above 2025 if following pattern. value "good" closes gap (ideal 0.8) region. form strategies ensure

Language: Английский

Citations

13